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Serie A
Serie A Italy
23.11.2025 14:00 UTC Match prediction
23.11.2025 14:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Cremonese - AS Roma

Italy Football
Cremonese
Cremonese
1 : 3
Finished
AS Roma
AS Roma

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cremonese - AS Roma November 23, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AS Roma.

Line favourite market consensus: AS Roma. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 6.04 / X 3.69 / 2 1.64
  • 1X2 market: Cremonese 15.8% / X 25.8% / AS Roma 58.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.6%
1 15.8%
X 25.9%
2 58.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 45.1%
Under 2.5 54.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 23.11.2025 14:00 UTC
Match center

Cremonese - AS Roma

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.64 market consensus · line only
X 3.70 market consensus · line only
1 6.07 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.14 market consensus · line only
12 1.27 market consensus · line only
1X 2.29 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.14 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.02 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.64 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.15 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.12 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.74 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.72 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.06 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
6.36 15.7%
X 3.75 26.7%
1.64 61.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
5.50 18.2% 6.30 15.9% 6.23 16.1% 5.75 17.4% 6.00 16.7% 5.80 17.2%
X 3.65 27.4% 3.75 26.7% 3.86 25.9% 3.60 27.8% 3.75 26.7% 3.75 26.7%
1.66 60.2% 1.62 61.7% 1.68 59.5% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.70 58.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.73 57.8% 1.74 57.5% 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.62 61.7% 1.68 59.5% 1.75 57.1%
yes 2.00 50.0% 2.11 47.4% 2.06 48.5% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.02 49.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.06 48.5% 2.16 46.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.14 87.7% 1.16 86.2% 1.14 87.7% 1.12 89.3% 1.17 85.5% 1.14 87.7%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 2.15 46.5% 2.33 42.9% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.34 42.7%
Match center
Cremonese
L L W D D
07.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 0:1 PisaPisa
01.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 1:2 JuventusJuventus
29.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 2:0 GenoaGenoa
25.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 1:1 AtalantaAtalanta
20.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 1:1 UdineseUdinese
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
5 Points
AS Roma
W L W W L
09.11 17:00 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 2:0 UdineseUdinese
02.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 0:1 AC MilanAC Milan
29.10 17:30 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 2:1 ParmaParma
26.10 14:00 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 1:0 SassuoloSassuolo
18.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 0:1 InterInter
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.6 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCremonese - AS Roma

Cremonese
0 matches total
AS Roma
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history