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Serie A
Serie A Italy
25.10.2025 18:45 UTC Match prediction
25.10.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Cremonese - Atalanta

Italy Football
Cremonese
Cremonese
1 : 1
Finished
Atalanta
Atalanta

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cremonese - Atalanta October 25, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atalanta.

Line favourite market consensus: Atalanta. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.77 / X 4.12 / 2 1.58
  • 1X2 market: Cremonese 16.6% / X 23.2% / Atalanta 60.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 16.5%
X 23.1%
2 60.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.3%
Over 2.5 53.2%
Under 2.5 46.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 25.10.2025 18:45 UTC
Match center

Cremonese - Atalanta

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.58 market consensus · line only
X 4.13 market consensus · line only
1 5.80 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.15 market consensus · line only
12 1.24 market consensus · line only
1X 2.41 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.16 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.03 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.58 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.98 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.05 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.93 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.83 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
6.16 16.2%
X 4.17 24.0%
1.58 63.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
5.80 17.2% 6.00 16.7% 5.88 17.0% 5.75 17.4% 6.10 16.4% 5.50 18.2%
X 4.00 25.0% 4.20 23.8% 4.40 22.7% 4.10 24.4% 4.15 24.1% 4.00 25.0%
1.56 64.1% 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.55 64.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 1.95 51.3% 1.97 50.8% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.89 52.9% 2.00 50.0% 1.90 52.6%
yes 1.77 56.5% 1.84 54.4% 1.81 55.3% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.81 55.3% 1.87 53.5% 1.88 53.2%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 1.13 88.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.14 87.7% 1.16 86.2% 1.16 86.2% 1.16 86.2%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.25 80.0% 1.26 79.4%
home_draw 2.35 42.6% 2.45 40.8% 2.30 43.5% 2.42 41.3% 2.47 40.5% 2.51 39.8%
Match center
Cremonese
D L D D D
20.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 1:1 UdineseUdinese
04.10 16:00 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 1:4 InterInter
27.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 1:1 ComoComo
21.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 0:0 ParmaParma
15.09 16:30 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 0:0 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
0 Wins
4 Draws
1 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.2 Conceded
4 Points
Atalanta
D D D W W
19.10 16:00 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 0:0 LazioLazio
04.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 1:1 ComoComo
27.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 1:1 JuventusJuventus
21.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 3:0 TorinoTorino
14.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Atalanta 4:1 LecceLecce
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.8 Scored
0.6 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCremonese - Atalanta

Cremonese
0 matches total
Atalanta
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history