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Serie A
Serie A Italy
15.02.2026 14:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Cremonese - Genoa

Italy Football
Cremonese
Cremonese
0 : 0
Finished
Genoa
Genoa

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cremonese - Genoa February 15, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Genoa.

Line favourite market consensus: Genoa. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.27 / X 2.84 / 2 2.52
  • 1X2 market: Cremonese 29.0% / X 33.4% / Genoa 37.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 63.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.5%
1 29.0%
X 33.4%
2 37.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.4%
Over 2.5 36.3%
Under 2.5 63.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.02.2026 14:00 UTC
Match center

Cremonese - Genoa

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.52 market consensus · line only
X 2.85 market consensus · line only
1 3.28 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.34 market consensus · line only
12 1.42 market consensus · line only
1X 1.53 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.36 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.10 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.48 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.36 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.61 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.49 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.72 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.06 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.45 29.0%
X 2.89 34.6%
2.56 39.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.25 30.8% 3.40 29.4% 3.44 29.1% 3.00 33.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.35 29.9%
X 2.84 35.2% 2.89 34.6% 2.93 34.1% 2.80 35.7% 2.90 34.5% 2.85 35.1%
2.42 41.3% 2.49 40.2% 2.61 38.3% 2.50 40.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.50 40.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.73 57.8% 1.77 56.5% 1.68 59.5% 1.73 57.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.66 60.2% 1.76 56.8%
yes 2.05 48.8% 2.06 48.5% 2.09 47.9% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.02 49.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.09 47.9% 2.15 46.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.30 76.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.35 74.1% 1.30 76.9%
home_away 1.36 73.5% 1.46 68.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.39 71.9% 1.40 71.4%
home_draw 1.53 65.4% 1.56 64.1% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.50 66.7%
Match center
Cremonese
L L L D L
09.02 17:30 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 1:2 AtalantaAtalanta
01.02 17:00 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 0:2 InterInter
25.01 11:30 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 0:1 SassuoloSassuolo
19.01 17:30 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 0:0 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
12.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 0:5 JuventusJuventus
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
0.2 Scored
2.0 Conceded
1 Points
Genoa
L L W D W
07.02 17:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 2:3 NapoliNapoli
30.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Genoa 2:3 LazioLazio
25.01 14:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 3:2 BolognaBologna
18.01 11:30 UTC Serie A
Genoa 0:0 ParmaParma
12.01 17:30 UTC Serie A
Genoa 3:0 CagliariCagliari
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.6 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCremonese - Genoa

Cremonese
1 matches total
Genoa
Cremonese: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Genoa: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Cremonese 2:0 (29.10 19:45 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (2:0, 29.10 19:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 2

Match history

29.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
Cremonese
2:0
Genoa