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Serie A
Serie A Italy
07.12.2025 11:30 UTC Match prediction
07.12.2025 11:30 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Cremonese - Lecce

Italy Football
Cremonese
Cremonese
2 : 0
Finished
Lecce
Lecce

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cremonese - Lecce December 7, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Cremonese.

Line favourite market consensus: Cremonese. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.39 / X 2.97 / 2 3.38
  • 1X2 market: Cremonese 39.8% / X 32.0% / Lecce 28.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 61.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 39.8%
X 32.0%
2 28.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5 38.5%
Under 2.5 61.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 07.12.2025 11:30 UTC
Match center

Cremonese - Lecce

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.39 market consensus · line only
X 2.97 market consensus · line only
1 2.39 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.59 market consensus · line only
12 1.39 market consensus · line only
1X 1.33 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.61 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.24 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.30 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.54 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.48 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.55 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.75 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.01 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.41 41.5%
X 3.00 33.3%
3.57 28.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.38 42.0% 2.38 42.0% 2.46 40.7% 2.38 42.0% 2.35 42.6% 2.40 41.7%
X 2.94 34.0% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 2.90 34.5% 2.90 34.5% 2.92 34.3%
3.35 29.9% 3.45 29.0% 3.48 28.7% 3.30 30.3% 3.50 28.6% 3.45 29.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.75 57.1% 1.84 54.4% 1.74 57.5% 1.73 57.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.78 56.2% 1.75 57.1% 1.72 58.1% 1.82 55.0%
yes 1.95 51.3% 1.97 50.8% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.07 48.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.57 63.7% 1.61 62.1% 1.57 63.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.60 62.5% 1.61 62.1%
home_away 1.35 74.1% 1.42 70.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.38 72.5% 1.41 70.9%
home_draw 1.30 76.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.35 74.1%
Match center
Cremonese
W L L L W
01.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 3:1 BolognaBologna
23.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 1:3 AS RomaAS Roma
07.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 0:1 PisaPisa
01.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 1:2 JuventusJuventus
29.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 2:0 GenoaGenoa
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.4 Conceded
6 Points
Lecce
W L D W L
30.11 11:30 UTC Serie A
Lecce 2:1 TorinoTorino
23.11 17:00 UTC Serie A
Lecce 0:2 LazioLazio
08.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Lecce 0:0 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
02.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Lecce 1:0 FiorentinaFiorentina
28.10 17:30 UTC Serie A
Lecce 0:1 NapoliNapoli
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
0.6 Scored
0.8 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCremonese - Lecce

Cremonese
0 matches total
Lecce
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history