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Serie A
Serie A Italy
29.08.2025 16:30 UTC Match prediction
29.08.2025 16:30 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Cremonese - Sassuolo

Italy Football
Cremonese
Cremonese
3 : 2
Finished
Sassuolo
Sassuolo

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Cremonese - Sassuolo August 29, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sassuolo.

Line favourite market consensus: Sassuolo. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.72 / X 3.17 / 2 2.71
  • 1X2 market: Cremonese 35.0% / X 30.0% / Sassuolo 35.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 34.9%
X 30.0%
2 35.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 44.1%
Under 2.5 55.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.08.2025 16:30 UTC
Match center

Cremonese - Sassuolo

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.71 market consensus · line only
X 3.17 market consensus · line only
1 2.74 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.46 market consensus · line only
12 1.35 market consensus · line only
1X 1.47 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.48 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.21 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.65 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.76 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.17 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.71 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.93 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.82 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.97 33.7%
X 3.15 31.8%
2.68 37.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.70 37.0% 2.66 37.6% 2.73 36.6% 2.60 38.5% 2.60 38.5% 2.65 37.7%
X 3.15 31.8% 3.25 30.8% 3.44 29.1% 3.10 32.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.20 31.3%
2.70 37.0% 2.80 35.7% 2.79 35.8% 2.70 37.0% 2.70 37.0% 2.77 36.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.93 51.8% 1.99 50.3% 1.89 52.9% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 1.88 53.2% 1.91 52.4% 1.87 53.5% 1.95 51.3%
yes 1.77 56.5% 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.91 52.4%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.45 69.0% 1.52 65.8% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.34 74.6%
home_draw 1.45 69.0% 1.50 66.7% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.48 67.6%
Match center
Cremonese
W
23.08 18:45 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 2:1 AC MilanAC Milan
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
Sassuolo
L
23.08 16:30 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 0:2 NapoliNapoli
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
0 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyCremonese - Sassuolo

Cremonese
0 matches total
Sassuolo
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history