AI verdict

AI pick Empoli win probability ~42% best odds 2.30

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Empoli. Full breakdown below.

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Serie A
Serie A Italy
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
10.05.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Empoli - Parma

Italy Football
Empoli
Empoli
2 : 1
Finished
Parma
Parma

Empoli meet Parma on May 10, 2025 in the Serie A, Italy.

Recent form (W-D-L): Empoli 0-2-3, Parma 1-3-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Sportsbooks lean towards Empoli, an implied 42% to win. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Empoli - Parma May 10, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Empoli.

Line favourite market consensus: Empoli. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.30 / X 3.15 / 2 3.63
  • 1X2 market: Empoli 42.3% / X 30.9% / Parma 26.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 60.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 42.3%
X 30.9%
2 26.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.3%
Over 2.5 39.5%
Under 2.5 60.5%

Odds source: SStats Consensus line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 10.05.2025 18:45 UTC
Market 1 42.3% @ 2.30 / X 30.9% @ 3.15 / 2 26.8% @ 3.63
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Match center

Empoli - Parma

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.63 market consensus · line only
X 3.15 market consensus · line only
1 2.30 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.68 market consensus · line only
12 1.40 market consensus · line only
1X 1.32 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.45 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.60 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.30 43.5%
X 3.15 31.8%
3.63 27.6%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.68 59.5%
home_away 1.40 71.4%
home_draw 1.32 75.8%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 2.45 40.8%
Under 2.5 1.60 62.5%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.57 63.7%
2.50 40.0%
Match center
Empoli
L L D L D
04.05 10:30 UTC Seriya A
Empoli 0:1 LatsioLatsio
27.04 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Empoli 1:2 FiorentinaFiorentina
20.04 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Empoli 2:2 VenetsiyaVenetsiya
14.04 18:45 UTC Seriya A
Empoli 0:3 NapoliNapoli
06.04 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Empoli 0:0 KalyariKalyari
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.6 Conceded
2 Points
Parma
L D W D D
03.05 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Parma 0:1 KomoKomo
28.04 18:45 UTC Seriya A
Parma 2:2 LatsioLatsio
23.04 16:30 UTC Seriya A
Parma 1:0 YuventusYuventus
13.04 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Parma 0:0 FiorentinaFiorentina
05.04 16:00 UTC Seriya A
Parma 2:2 InterInter
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Empoli - Parma

Empoli
1 matches total
Parma
Empoli: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Parma: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 27.10 10:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (27.10 10:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

27.10 10:30 UTC Seriya A
Empoli
1:1
Parma Kalcho

Frequently asked questions

When does Empoli vs Parma start?

May 10, 2025.