PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Serie A
Serie A Italy
18.05.2025 18:45 UTC Match prediction
18.05.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Fiorentina - Bologna

Italy Football
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
3 : 2
Finished
Bologna
Bologna

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Fiorentina - Bologna May 18, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bologna.

Line favourite market consensus: Bologna. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.12 / X 3.09 / 2 2.61
  • 1X2 market: Fiorentina 31.2% / X 31.5% / Bologna 37.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.7%
1 31.2%
X 31.5%
2 37.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.4%
Over 2.5 40.3%
Under 2.5 59.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 18.05.2025 18:45 UTC
Match center

Fiorentina - Bologna

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.61 market consensus · line only
X 3.09 market consensus · line only
1 3.12 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.41 market consensus · line only
12 1.42 market consensus · line only
1X 1.54 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.40 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.62 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.12 32.1%
X 3.09 32.4%
2.61 38.3%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.41 70.9%
home_away 1.42 70.4%
home_draw 1.54 64.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 2.40 41.7%
Under 2.5 1.62 61.7%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.14 46.7%
1.77 56.5%
Match center
Fiorentina
L L W W D
12.05 16:30 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 1:2 Venezia
04.05 16:00 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 0:1 AS RomaAS Roma
27.04 13:00 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 2:1 Empoli
23.04 16:30 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 2:1 CagliariCagliari
13.04 13:00 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 0:0 ParmaParma
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
7 Points
Bologna
L D D W L
09.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Bologna 1:3 AC MilanAC Milan
04.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Bologna 1:1 JuventusJuventus
28.04 16:30 UTC Serie A
Bologna 0:0 UdineseUdinese
20.04 16:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 1:0 InterInter
13.04 10:30 UTC Serie A
Bologna 0:2 AtalantaAtalanta
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.2 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFiorentina - Bologna

Fiorentina
0 matches total
Bologna
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history