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Serie A
Serie A Italy
21.09.2025 16:00 UTC Match prediction
21.09.2025 16:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Fiorentina - Como

Italy Football
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
1 : 2
Finished
Como
Como

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Fiorentina - Como September 21, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Fiorentina.

Line favourite market consensus: Fiorentina. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.55 / X 3.26 / 2 2.85
  • 1X2 market: Fiorentina 37.3% / X 29.2% / Como 33.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 37.4%
X 29.2%
2 33.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.2%
Over 2.5 47.3%
Under 2.5 52.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 21.09.2025 16:00 UTC
Match center

Fiorentina - Como

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.85 market consensus · line only
X 3.26 market consensus · line only
1 2.56 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.52 market consensus · line only
12 1.34 market consensus · line only
1X 1.44 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.53 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.22 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.81 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.99 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.03 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.82 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.03 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.74 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.65 37.7%
X 3.26 30.7%
2.92 34.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Betano Betfair
2.52 39.7% 2.53 39.5% 2.57 38.9% 2.50 40.0% 2.65 37.7% 2.50 40.0%
X 3.20 31.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.52 28.4% 3.25 30.8% 3.20 31.3% 3.10 32.3%
2.84 35.2% 2.90 34.5% 2.93 34.1% 2.75 36.4% 2.80 35.7% 2.88 34.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 2.00 50.0% 2.09 47.9% 1.98 50.5% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 1.96 51.0% 2.16 46.3% 2.02 49.5%
yes 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.76 56.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 1.50 66.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.52 65.8% 1.56 64.1% 1.53 65.4%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.35 74.1% 1.33 75.2% 1.34 74.6% 1.33 75.2% 1.38 72.5%
home_draw 1.42 70.4% 1.46 68.5% 1.44 69.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.44 69.4% 1.45 69.0%
Match center
Fiorentina
L D D W W
13.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 1:3 NapoliNapoli
31.08 16:30 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 0:0 TorinoTorino
24.08 16:30 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 1:1 CagliariCagliari
25.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 3:2 UdineseUdinese
18.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 3:2 BolognaBologna
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.6 Conceded
8 Points
Como
D L W L D
15.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Como 1:1 GenoaGenoa
30.08 16:30 UTC Serie A
Como 0:1 BolognaBologna
24.08 16:30 UTC Serie A
Como 2:0 LazioLazio
23.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Como 0:2 InterInter
18.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Como 1:1 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.0 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFiorentina - Como

Fiorentina
0 matches total
Como
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history