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Serie A
Serie A Italy
22.03.2026 19:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Fiorentina - Inter

Italy Football
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
1 : 1
Finished
Inter
Inter

Fiorentina meet Inter on March 22, 2026 in the Serie A, Italy.

Recent form (W-D-L): Fiorentina 3-1-1, Inter 3-1-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The bookmaker line makes Inter the favourite at about 58%. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PrognozAI neural-network verdict.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Fiorentina - Inter March 22, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Inter.

Line favourite market consensus: Inter. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.10 / X 4.10 / 2 1.63
  • 1X2 market: Fiorentina 18.7% / X 23.2% / Inter 58.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 18.6%
X 23.2%
2 58.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.0%
Over 2.5 55.7%
Under 2.5 44.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 22.03.2026 19:45 UTC
Market 1 18.6% @ 5.10 / X 23.2% @ 4.10 / 2 58.2% @ 1.63
Match center

Fiorentina - Inter

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.63 market consensus · line only
X 4.12 market consensus · line only
1 5.07 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.17 market consensus · line only
12 1.22 market consensus · line only
1X 2.28 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.20 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.02 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.62 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.08 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.71 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.15 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.06 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.72 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
4.69 21.3%
X 4.33 23.1%
1.67 59.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
4.85 20.6% 5.40 18.5% 5.35 18.7% 4.80 20.8% 4.75 21.1% 5.10 19.6%
X 4.00 25.0% 4.20 23.8% 4.28 23.4% 3.90 25.6% 4.33 23.1% 4.35 23.0%
1.63 61.4% 1.61 62.1% 1.68 59.5% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet
no 2.05 48.8% 2.11 47.4% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 2.02 49.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.03 49.3%
yes 1.73 57.8% 1.74 57.5% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.17 85.5% 1.19 84.0% 1.17 85.5% 1.18 84.8% 1.20 83.3% 1.13 88.5%
home_away 1.18 84.8% 1.26 79.4% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.22 82.0% 1.20 83.3%
home_draw 2.20 45.5% 2.32 43.1% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.30 43.5% 2.25 44.4%
Match center
Fiorentina
W D L W W
16.03 19:45 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 4:1 CremoneseCremonese
08.03 14:00 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 0:0 ParmaParma
02.03 19:45 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 0:3 UdineseUdinese
23.02 17:30 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 1:0 PisaPisa
14.02 14:00 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 2:1 ComoComo
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.0 Conceded
10 Points
Inter
D L W W W
14.03 14:00 UTC Serie A
Inter 1:1 AtalantaAtalanta
08.03 19:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 0:1 AC MilanAC Milan
28.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 2:0 GenoaGenoa
21.02 17:00 UTC Serie A
Inter 2:0 LecceLecce
14.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 3:2 JuventusJuventus
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.8 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFiorentina - Inter

Fiorentina
1 matches total
Inter
Fiorentina: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Inter: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Inter 0:3 (29.10 19:45 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (0:3, 29.10 19:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 0

Match history

29.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina
0:3
Inter