Match center
Start
02.11.2025 14:00 UTC
02.11.2025 14:00 UTC
Finished
Serie A
Fiorentina - Lecce
0
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Fiorentina - Lecce 2 ноября 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Fiorentina.
Line favourite market consensus: Fiorentina. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.69 / X 3.60 / 2 5.72
- 1X2 market: Fiorentina 56.6% / X 26.6% / Lecce 16.8%
- Total 2.5: over probability 58.5%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.4%
1
56.7%
X
26.6%
2
16.7%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 3.5%
Over 2.5
41.5%
Under 2.5
58.5%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Fiorentina - Lecce
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
5.75
market consensus · line only
X
3.60
market consensus · line only
1
1.70
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
2.21
market consensus · line only
12
1.31
market consensus · line only
1X
1.16
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
2.21
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.69
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
5.25
market consensus · line only
1 -0.5
1.69
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.33
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.65
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.66
market consensus · line only
Yes
2.17
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.70 58.8% |
| Х | 3.60 27.8% |
| П2 | 5.91 16.9% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.68 59.5% | 1.74 57.5% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.70 58.8% |
| Х | 3.55 28.2% | 3.68 27.2% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.60 27.8% |
| П2 | 6.00 16.7% | 5.93 16.9% | 5.50 18.2% | 5.80 17.2% | 5.91 16.9% | 5.91 16.9% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | William Hill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.69 59.2% | 1.64 61.0% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.63 61.4% | 1.68 59.5% | 1.67 59.9% |
| yes | 2.18 45.9% | 2.14 46.7% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.14 46.7% | 2.27 44.1% | 2.10 47.6% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 1xBet | Bet365 | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | SStats Consensus | William Hill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.22 45.1% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.23 44.8% | 2.26 44.3% | 2.26 44.3% | 2.15 46.5% |
| home_away | 1.33 75.2% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.32 75.8% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.29 77.5% |
| home_draw | 1.17 85.5% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.16 86.2% | 1.16 86.2% | 1.16 86.2% | 1.17 85.5% |
Match center
Fiorentina
L
D
L
L
D
29.10 19:45 UTC
Serie A
Fiorentina
0:3
Inter
Inter
26.10 17:00 UTC
Serie A
Fiorentina
2:2
Bologna
Bologna
19.10 18:45 UTC
Serie A
Fiorentina
1:2
AC Milan
AC Milan
05.10 13:00 UTC
Serie A
Fiorentina
1:2
AS Roma
AS Roma
28.09 13:00 UTC
Serie A
Fiorentina
0:0
Pisa
Pisa
0
Wins
2
Draws
3
Losses
0.8
Scored
1.8
Conceded
2
Points
Lecce
L
L
D
W
D
28.10 17:30 UTC
Serie A
Lecce
0:1
Napoli
Napoli
25.10 13:00 UTC
Serie A
Lecce
2:3
Udinese
Udinese
18.10 13:00 UTC
Serie A
Lecce
0:0
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
04.10 13:00 UTC
Serie A
Lecce
1:0
Parma
Parma
28.09 16:00 UTC
Serie A
Lecce
2:2
Bologna
Bologna
1
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
1.0
Scored
1.2
Conceded
5
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyFiorentina - Lecce
Fiorentina
1
matches total
Fiorentina: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Lecce: 0 (0%)
Biggest win
Fiorentina 6:0 (20.10 13:00 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
6 goals (6:0, 20.10 13:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
20.10 13:00 UTC
Serie A
Serie A
Fiorentina
6:0
Lecce