AI verdict

AI pick Fiorentina win probability ~57% confidence Medium best odds 1.69

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Fiorentina. Full breakdown below.

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Serie A
Serie A Italy
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
02.11.2025 14:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Fiorentina vs Lecce — Football prediction

Italy Football
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
0 : 1
Finished
Lecce
Lecce

Fiorentina go head-to-head with Lecce on November 2, 2025 in the Serie A, Italy.

Recent form (W-D-L): Fiorentina 0-2-3, Lecce 1-2-2. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The bookmaker line makes Fiorentina the favourite at about 57%. Read on for detailed stats, previous meetings, the bookmaker line and the PropickAI neural-network verdict.

🎯 Safe pick strong

Double chance Fiorentina or draw 1.16

Model confidence 83% ~82% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Fiorentina - Lecce November 2, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Fiorentina.

Line favourite market consensus: Fiorentina. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.69 / X 3.60 / 2 5.72
  • 1X2 market: Fiorentina 56.6% / X 26.6% / Lecce 16.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.8% 7 books · best price +2.4%
1 56.6%
X 26.8%
2 16.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.5%
Over 2.5 41.5%
Under 2.5 58.5%

Odds source: consensus of 7 books (188Bet, 1xBet, Bet365, Marathonbet, Pinnacle, SStats Consensus). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 02.11.2025 14:00 UTC
Market 1 56.7% @ 1.69 / X 26.6% @ 3.60 / 2 16.7% @ 5.72
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Match center

Fiorentina - Lecce

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.75 market consensus · line only
X 3.60 market consensus · line only
1 1.70 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.21 market consensus · line only
12 1.31 market consensus · line only
1X 1.16 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.21 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.69 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 5.25 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.69 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.33 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.65 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.66 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.17 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.70 58.8%
X 3.60 27.8%
5.91 16.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus
1.68 59.5% 1.74 57.5% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8%
X 3.55 28.2% 3.68 27.2% 3.60 27.8% 3.60 27.8% 3.60 27.8% 3.60 27.8%
6.00 16.7% 5.93 16.9% 5.50 18.2% 5.80 17.2% 5.91 16.9% 5.91 16.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle William Hill
no 1.69 59.2% 1.64 61.0% 1.62 61.7% 1.63 61.4% 1.68 59.5% 1.67 59.9%
yes 2.18 45.9% 2.14 46.7% 2.20 45.5% 2.14 46.7% 2.27 44.1% 2.10 47.6%

Double chance

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Marathonbet Pinnacle SStats Consensus William Hill
draw_away 2.22 45.1% 2.15 46.5% 2.23 44.8% 2.26 44.3% 2.26 44.3% 2.15 46.5%
home_away 1.33 75.2% 1.28 78.1% 1.32 75.8% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.29 77.5%
home_draw 1.17 85.5% 1.14 87.7% 1.16 86.2% 1.16 86.2% 1.16 86.2% 1.17 85.5%
Match center
Fiorentina
L D L L D
29.10 19:45 UTC Seriya A
Fiorentina 0:3 InterInter
26.10 17:00 UTC Seriya A
Fiorentina 2:2 BolonyaBolonya
19.10 18:45 UTC Seriya A
Fiorentina 1:2 MilanMilan
05.10 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Fiorentina 1:2 RomaRoma
28.09 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Fiorentina 0:0 PisaPisa
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.8 Conceded
2 Points
Lecce
L L D W D
28.10 17:30 UTC Seriya A
Lecce 0:1 NapoliNapoli
25.10 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Lecce 2:3 UdinezeUdineze
18.10 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Lecce 0:0 SassuoloSassuolo
04.10 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Lecce 1:0 Parma KalchoParma Kalcho
28.09 16:00 UTC Seriya A
Lecce 2:2 BolonyaBolonya
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.2 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Fiorentina - Lecce

Fiorentina
1 matches total
Lecce
Fiorentina: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Lecce: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Fiorentina 6:0 (20.10 13:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 6 goals (6:0, 20.10 13:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

6 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 6

Match history

20.10 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Fiorentina
6:0
Lechche

Frequently asked questions

What does PropickAI predict for Fiorentina vs Lecce?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Fiorentina. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Fiorentina vs Lecce?

Live odds for Fiorentina vs Lecce from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Fiorentina vs Lecce start?

November 2, 2025.