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Serie A
Serie A Italy
13.04.2025 13:00 UTC Match prediction
13.04.2025 13:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Fiorentina - Parma

Italy Football
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
0 : 0
Finished
Parma
Parma

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Fiorentina - Parma April 13, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Fiorentina.

Line favourite market consensus: Fiorentina. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.80 / X 3.70 / 2 4.90
  • 1X2 market: Fiorentina 53.9% / X 26.2% / Parma 19.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.0%
1 53.9%
X 26.2%
2 19.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.3%
Over 2.5 50.9%
Under 2.5 49.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 13.04.2025 13:00 UTC
Match center

Fiorentina - Parma

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.90 market consensus · line only
X 3.70 market consensus · line only
1 1.80 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.11 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 1.21 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.92 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.99 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.80 55.6%
X 3.70 27.0%
4.90 20.4%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.11 47.4%
home_away 1.32 75.8%
home_draw 1.21 82.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.92 52.1%
Under 2.5 1.99 50.3%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.32 75.8%
3.61 27.7%
Match center
Fiorentina
D W W W W
05.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 2:2 AC MilanAC Milan
31.10 17:30 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 1:0 GenoaGenoa
27.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 5:1 AS RomaAS Roma
20.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 6:0 LecceLecce
06.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 2:1 AC MilanAC Milan
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
3.2 Scored
0.8 Conceded
13 Points
Parma
D D D D D
05.04 16:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 2:2 InterInter
30.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
Parma 2:2 JuventusJuventus
27.10 10:30 UTC Serie A
Parma 1:1 Empoli
19.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 1:1 ComoComo
06.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 0:0 BolognaBologna
0 Wins
5 Draws
0 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.2 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFiorentina - Parma

Fiorentina
0 matches total
Parma
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history