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Serie A
Serie A Italy
08.03.2026 14:00 UTC Match prediction
08.03.2026 14:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Fiorentina - Parma

Italy Football
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
0 : 0
Finished
Parma
Parma

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Fiorentina - Parma March 8, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Fiorentina.

Line favourite market consensus: Fiorentina. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.77 / X 3.54 / 2 4.91
  • 1X2 market: Fiorentina 53.7% / X 26.9% / Parma 19.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 53.7%
X 26.9%
2 19.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.3%
Over 2.5 48.4%
Under 2.5 51.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 08.03.2026 14:00 UTC
Match center

Fiorentina - Parma

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.92 market consensus · line only
X 3.54 market consensus · line only
1 1.77 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.06 market consensus · line only
12 1.29 market consensus · line only
1X 1.18 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.09 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.59 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.45 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.90 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.98 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.86 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.92 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.84 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.79 55.9%
X 3.58 27.9%
5.13 19.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.74 57.5% 1.78 56.2% 1.84 54.4% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6%
X 3.50 28.6% 3.65 27.4% 3.62 27.6% 3.40 29.4% 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8%
4.70 21.3% 4.80 20.8% 5.11 19.6% 4.60 21.7% 5.25 19.1% 5.20 19.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.91 52.4% 1.93 51.8% 1.87 53.5% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.93 51.8% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.95 51.3%
yes 1.83 54.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.92 52.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 2.05 48.8% 2.07 48.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.10 47.6% 2.00 50.0%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 1.18 84.8% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.17 85.5% 1.19 84.0% 1.14 87.7%
Match center
Fiorentina
L W W D L
02.03 19:45 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 0:3 UdineseUdinese
23.02 17:30 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 1:0 PisaPisa
14.02 14:00 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 2:1 ComoComo
07.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 2:2 TorinoTorino
31.01 17:00 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina 1:2 NapoliNapoli
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.6 Conceded
7 Points
Parma
D W W W L
27.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Parma 1:1 CagliariCagliari
22.02 17:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 1:0 AC MilanAC Milan
15.02 14:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 2:1 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
08.02 11:30 UTC Serie A
Parma 1:0 BolognaBologna
01.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Parma 1:4 JuventusJuventus
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.2 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyFiorentina - Parma

Fiorentina
2 matches total
Parma
Fiorentina: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Parma: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Parma 0:1 (27.12 11:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 27.12 11:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (13.04 13:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 0

Match history

27.12 11:30 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina
0:1
Parma
13.04 13:00 UTC Serie A
Fiorentina
0:0
Parma