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Serie A
Serie A Italy
29.10.2025 19:45 UTC Match prediction
29.10.2025 19:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Genoa - Cremonese

Italy Football
Genoa
Genoa
0 : 2
Finished
Cremonese
Cremonese

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Genoa - Cremonese October 29, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Genoa.

Line favourite market consensus: Genoa. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.83 / X 3.33 / 2 4.95
  • 1X2 market: Genoa 52.1% / X 28.6% / Cremonese 19.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 61.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 52.1%
X 28.6%
2 19.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.1%
Over 2.5 38.2%
Under 2.5 61.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.10.2025 19:45 UTC
Match center

Genoa - Cremonese

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.97 market consensus · line only
X 3.33 market consensus · line only
1 1.83 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.00 market consensus · line only
12 1.33 market consensus · line only
1X 1.18 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.04 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.50 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.85 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.20 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.49 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.54 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.63 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.20 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.84 54.4%
X 3.38 29.6%
5.27 19.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.87 53.5%
X 3.20 31.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.56 28.1% 3.30 30.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.35 29.9%
4.80 20.8% 5.50 18.2% 4.96 20.2% 4.80 20.8% 5.00 20.0% 5.20 19.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.62 61.7% 1.69 59.2% 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.67 59.9%
yes 2.15 46.5% 2.18 45.9% 2.19 45.7% 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.19 45.7% 2.30 43.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.91 52.4% 2.03 49.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.03 49.3%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.34 74.6% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.32 75.8% 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.18 84.8% 1.21 82.6% 1.18 84.8% 1.17 85.5% 1.19 84.0% 1.21 82.6%
Match center
Genoa
L D L L L
26.10 11:30 UTC Serie A
Genoa 1:2 TorinoTorino
19.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 0:0 ParmaParma
05.10 16:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 1:2 NapoliNapoli
29.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Genoa 0:3 LazioLazio
20.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 1:2 BolognaBologna
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.8 Conceded
1 Points
Cremonese
D D L D D
25.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 1:1 AtalantaAtalanta
20.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 1:1 UdineseUdinese
04.10 16:00 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 1:4 InterInter
27.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 1:1 ComoComo
21.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 0:0 ParmaParma
0 Wins
4 Draws
1 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGenoa - Cremonese

Genoa
0 matches total
Cremonese
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history