Serie A
Serie A Italy
31.08.2025 16:30 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Genoa - Juventus

Italy Futbol
Genoa
Genoa
0 : 1
Finished
Juventus
Juventus

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Genoa - Juventus 31 августа 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Juventus.

Line favourite market consensus: Juventus. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.07 / X 3.26 / 2 1.82
  • 1X2 market: Genoa 18.8% / X 29.2% / Juventus 52.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 62.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 18.7%
X 29.1%
2 52.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.2%
Over 2.5 37.4%
Under 2.5 62.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 31.08.2025 16:30 UTC
Match center

Genoa - Juventus

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.82 market consensus · line only
X 3.26 market consensus · line only
1 5.09 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.18 market consensus · line only
12 1.34 market consensus · line only
1X 1.99 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.18 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.03 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.83 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.62 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.54 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.52 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.60 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.26 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 5.34 18.7%
Х 3.36 29.8%
П2 1.83 54.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 4.90 20.4% 5.20 19.2% 5.30 18.9% 4.75 21.1% 4.75 21.1% 5.10 19.6%
Х 3.25 30.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.38 29.6% 3.10 32.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4%
П2 1.81 55.3% 1.82 55.0% 1.88 53.2% 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.87 53.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.60 62.5% 1.59 62.9% 1.58 63.3% 1.62 61.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7%
yes 2.20 45.5% 2.36 42.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.22 45.1% 2.30 43.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.35 42.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.17 85.5% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.18 84.8% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.37 73.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.31 76.3% 1.35 74.1%
home_draw 1.95 51.3% 2.02 49.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 2.00 50.0% 2.01 49.8%
Match center
Genoa
D W L D L
23.08 16:30 UTC Serie A
Genoa 0:0 LecceLecce
24.05 16:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 3:1 BolognaBologna
17.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Genoa 2:3 AtalantaAtalanta
11.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Genoa 2:2 NapoliNapoli
05.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Genoa 1:2 AC MilanAC Milan
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.6 Conceded
5 Points
Juventus
W W W D D
24.08 18:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 2:0 ParmaParma
25.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 3:2 Venezia
18.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 2:0 UdineseUdinese
10.05 16:00 UTC Serie A
Juventus 1:1 LazioLazio
04.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 1:1 BolognaBologna
3 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.8 Scored
0.8 Conceded
11 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGenoa - Juventus

Genoa
1 matches total
Juventus
Genoa: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Juventus: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Juventus 0:3 (28.09 16:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (0:3, 28.09 16:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 0

Match history

28.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa
0:3
Juventus