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Serie A Italy

23.04.2025 16:30 UTC Match prediction

23.04.2025 16:30 UTC

Finished

Serie A

Genoa - Lazio

Italy Football

Genoa

0 : 2

Finished

Lazio

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Genoa - Lazio April 23, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lazio.

Line favourite market consensus: Lazio. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.88 / X 3.15 / 2 2.21
1X2 market: Genoa 25.1% / X 30.9% / Lazio 44.0%
Total 2.5: over probability 59.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%

1 25.1%

X 30.9%

2 44.0%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.3%

Over 2.5 41.0%

Under 2.5 59.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 23.04.2025 16:30 UTC

Match center

Genoa - Lazio

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.21 market consensus · line only

X 3.15 market consensus · line only

1 3.88 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.29 market consensus · line only

12 1.40 market consensus · line only

1X 1.74 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.36 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.64 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	3.88 25.8%
X	3.15 31.8%
	2.21 45.3%

Double chance

Outcome	SStats Consensus
draw_away	1.29 77.5%
home_away	1.40 71.4%
home_draw	1.74 57.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	SStats Consensus
Over 2.5	2.36 42.4%
Under 2.5	1.64 61.0%

Home/Away

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	2.67 37.5%
	1.52 65.8%

Match center

Genoa

D W L L D

13.04 13:00 UTC Serie A

Genoa 0:0 Hellas Verona

04.04 18:45 UTC Serie A

Genoa 1:0 Udinese

31.10 17:30 UTC Serie A

Genoa 0:1 Fiorentina

27.10 13:00 UTC Serie A

Genoa 0:3 Lazio

19.10 13:00 UTC Serie A

Genoa 2:2 Bologna

1 Wins

2 Draws

2 Losses

0.6 Scored

1.2 Conceded

5 Points

Lazio

D W W W L

13.04 18:45 UTC Serie A

Lazio 1:1 AS Roma

06.04 16:00 UTC Serie A

Lazio 1:0 Atalanta

31.10 19:45 UTC Serie A

Lazio 5:1 Como

27.10 13:00 UTC Serie A

Lazio 3:0 Genoa

19.10 18:45 UTC Serie A

Lazio 0:1 Juventus

3 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

2.0 Scored

0.6 Conceded

10 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyGenoa - Lazio

Genoa

1 matches total

Lazio

Genoa: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Lazio: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Lazio 0:3 (27.10 13:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 3 goals (0:3, 27.10 13:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 3

3 Goals conceded 0

Match history

27.10 13:00 UTC

Serie A

Genoa

0:3

Lazio