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Serie A
Serie A Italy
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
23.08.2025 16:30 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Genoa - Lecce

Italy Football
Genoa
Genoa
0 : 0
Finished
Lecce
Lecce

Genoa take on Lecce on August 23, 2025 in the Serie A, Italy.

Recent form (W-D-L): Genoa 1-1-3, Lecce 2-2-1. The market favourite is Genoa at roughly 54%. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PrognozAI AI breakdown.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Genoa - Lecce August 23, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Genoa.

Line favourite market consensus: Genoa. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.75 / X 3.40 / 2 5.31
  • 1X2 market: Genoa 54.2% / X 27.9% / Lecce 17.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2% 13 books · best price +4.0%
1 54.1%
X 28.0%
2 17.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.1%
Over 2.5 40.2%
Under 2.5 59.8%

Odds source: consensus of 13 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 23.08.2025 16:30 UTC
Market 1 54.2% @ 1.75 / X 27.9% @ 3.40 / 2 17.9% @ 5.31
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Match center

Genoa - Lecce

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.33 market consensus · line only
X 3.40 market consensus · line only
1 1.76 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.08 market consensus · line only
12 1.31 market consensus · line only
1X 1.16 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.10 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.57 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.45 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.78 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.37 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.59 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.64 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.18 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.79 55.9%
X 3.37 29.7%
5.67 17.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.74 57.5% 1.76 56.8% 1.82 55.0% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1%
X 3.40 29.4% 3.50 28.6% 3.50 28.6% 3.30 30.3% 3.50 28.6% 3.35 29.9%
5.20 19.2% 5.30 18.9% 5.51 18.2% 5.00 20.0% 5.25 19.1% 5.50 18.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.63 61.4% 1.67 59.9% 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.62 61.7% 1.61 62.1% 1.69 59.2%
yes 2.15 46.5% 2.22 45.1% 2.17 46.1% 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.17 46.1% 2.22 45.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.00 50.0% 2.12 47.2% 2.08 48.1%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.35 74.1% 1.33 75.2% 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.15 87.0% 1.18 84.8% 1.15 87.0% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.16 86.2%
Match center
Genoa
W L D L L
24.05 16:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 3:1 BolognaBologna
17.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Genoa 2:3 AtalantaAtalanta
11.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Genoa 2:2 NapoliNapoli
05.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Genoa 1:2 AC MilanAC Milan
27.04 10:30 UTC Serie A
Genoa 0:1 ComoComo
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.8 Conceded
4 Points
Lecce
W W D L D
25.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Lecce 1:0 LazioLazio
18.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Lecce 1:0 TorinoTorino
11.05 13:00 UTC Serie A
Lecce 1:1 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
03.05 16:00 UTC Serie A
Lecce 0:1 NapoliNapoli
27.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Lecce 1:1 AtalantaAtalanta
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
0.8 Scored
0.6 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGenoa - Lecce

Genoa
0 matches total
Lecce
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history