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Serie A
Serie A Italy
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
07.02.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Genoa - Napoli

Italy Football
Genoa
Genoa
2 : 3
Finished
Napoli
Napoli

Genoa meet Napoli on February 7, 2026 in the Serie A, Italy.

Recent form (W-D-L): Genoa 2-2-1, Napoli 2-2-1. These sides have met 2 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. Sportsbooks lean towards Napoli, an implied 47% to win. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PrognozAI AI pick.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Genoa - Napoli February 7, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Napoli.

Line favourite market consensus: Napoli. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.38 / X 2.99 / 2 2.04
  • 1X2 market: Genoa 21.7% / X 31.7% / Napoli 46.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 65.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3% 14 books · best price +3.2%
1 21.9%
X 31.7%
2 46.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.5%
Over 2.5 34.8%
Under 2.5 65.2%

Odds source: consensus of 14 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 07.02.2026 17:00 UTC
Market 1 21.7% @ 4.38 / X 31.8% @ 2.99 / 2 46.6% @ 2.04
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Match center

Genoa - Napoli

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.04 market consensus · line only
X 3.00 market consensus · line only
1 4.39 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.21 market consensus · line only
12 1.38 market consensus · line only
1X 1.79 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.21 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.01 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.03 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.19 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.70 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.44 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.59 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.29 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
4.54 22.0%
X 3.03 33.0%
2.09 47.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
4.20 23.8% 4.40 22.7% 4.47 22.4% 4.20 23.8% 4.33 23.1% 4.40 22.7%
X 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.13 32.0% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3% 2.95 33.9%
2.00 50.0% 2.08 48.1% 2.12 47.2% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.60 62.5% 1.61 62.1% 1.58 63.3% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.56 64.1% 1.61 62.1%
yes 2.25 44.4% 2.34 42.7% 2.27 44.1% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.30 43.5% 2.27 44.1% 2.41 41.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.22 82.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.24 80.7% 1.17 85.5%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.42 70.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.38 72.5% 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.77 56.5% 1.81 55.3% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.73 57.8%
Match center
Genoa
L W D W D
30.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Genoa 2:3 LazioLazio
25.01 14:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 3:2 BolognaBologna
18.01 11:30 UTC Serie A
Genoa 0:0 ParmaParma
12.01 17:30 UTC Serie A
Genoa 3:0 CagliariCagliari
08.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Genoa 1:1 AC MilanAC Milan
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.2 Conceded
8 Points
Napoli
W L W D D
31.01 17:00 UTC Serie A
Napoli 2:1 FiorentinaFiorentina
25.01 17:00 UTC Serie A
Napoli 0:3 JuventusJuventus
17.01 17:00 UTC Serie A
Napoli 1:0 SassuoloSassuolo
14.01 17:30 UTC Serie A
Napoli 0:0 ParmaParma
11.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Napoli 2:2 InterInter
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.2 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGenoa - Napoli

Genoa
2 matches total
Napoli
Genoa: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Napoli: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Napoli 1:2 (05.10 16:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (2:2, 11.05 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 2:2 (11.05 18:45 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 4
4 Goals conceded 3

Match history

05.10 16:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa
1:2
Napoli
11.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Genoa
2:2
Napoli