PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Serie A
Serie A Italy
19.10.2025 13:00 UTC Match prediction
19.10.2025 13:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Genoa - Parma

Italy Football
Genoa
Genoa
0 : 0
Finished
Parma
Parma

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Genoa - Parma October 19, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Genoa.

Line favourite market consensus: Genoa. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.27 / X 2.93 / 2 3.74
  • 1X2 market: Genoa 42.0% / X 32.5% / Parma 25.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 64.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 42.0%
X 32.5%
2 25.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.5%
Over 2.5 35.5%
Under 2.5 64.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 19.10.2025 13:00 UTC
Match center

Genoa - Parma

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.75 market consensus · line only
X 2.93 market consensus · line only
1 2.27 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.65 market consensus · line only
12 1.40 market consensus · line only
1X 1.28 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.27 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.70 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.20 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.67 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.47 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.67 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.13 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.30 43.5%
X 2.95 33.9%
3.94 25.4%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.25 44.4% 2.28 43.9% 2.34 42.7% 2.20 45.5% 2.35 42.6% 2.27 44.1%
X 2.90 34.5% 2.89 34.6% 3.06 32.7% 3.00 33.3% 2.88 34.7% 2.85 35.1%
3.70 27.0% 3.85 26.0% 3.82 26.2% 3.50 28.6% 3.50 28.6% 3.85 26.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.65 60.6% 1.71 58.5% 1.66 60.2% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.64 61.0% 1.70 58.8%
yes 2.10 47.6% 2.14 46.7% 2.12 47.2% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.07 48.3% 2.15 46.5% 2.12 47.2% 2.25 44.4%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.65 60.6% 1.57 63.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9%
home_away 1.35 74.1% 1.43 69.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.39 71.9% 1.43 69.9%
home_draw 1.25 80.0% 1.31 76.3% 1.29 77.5% 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9%
Match center
Genoa
L L L D L
05.10 16:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 1:2 NapoliNapoli
29.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Genoa 0:3 LazioLazio
20.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 1:2 BolognaBologna
15.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Genoa 1:1 ComoComo
31.08 16:30 UTC Serie A
Genoa 0:1 JuventusJuventus
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.8 Conceded
1 Points
Parma
L W D L D
04.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 0:1 LecceLecce
29.09 16:30 UTC Serie A
Parma 2:1 TorinoTorino
21.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 0:0 CremoneseCremonese
13.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 0:2 CagliariCagliari
30.08 16:30 UTC Serie A
Parma 1:1 AtalantaAtalanta
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.0 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGenoa - Parma

Genoa
0 matches total
Parma
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history