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Serie A
Serie A Italy
22.02.2026 11:30 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Genoa - Torino

Italy Football
Genoa
Genoa
3 : 0
Finished
Torino
Torino

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Genoa - Torino February 22, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Genoa.

Line favourite market consensus: Genoa. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.33 / X 2.98 / 2 3.41
  • 1X2 market: Genoa 40.5% / X 31.7% / Torino 27.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.8%
1 40.6%
X 31.7%
2 27.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.0%
Over 2.5 41.2%
Under 2.5 58.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 22.02.2026 11:30 UTC
Match center

Genoa - Torino

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.42 market consensus · line only
X 2.99 market consensus · line only
1 2.34 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.60 market consensus · line only
12 1.37 market consensus · line only
1X 1.31 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.63 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.26 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.41 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.63 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.31 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.62 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.83 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.92 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.39 41.8%
X 3.04 32.9%
3.58 27.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.30 43.5% 2.31 43.3% 2.43 41.2% 2.30 43.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.35 42.6%
X 2.98 33.6% 3.10 32.3% 3.08 32.5% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3% 2.95 33.9%
3.35 29.9% 3.50 28.6% 3.58 27.9% 3.10 32.3% 3.50 28.6% 3.50 28.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.85 54.1% 1.88 53.2% 1.82 55.0% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.90 52.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.91 52.4%
yes 1.90 52.6% 1.93 51.8% 1.90 52.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% 1.96 51.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.60 62.5% 1.63 61.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.57 63.7%
home_away 1.33 75.2% 1.42 70.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.38 72.5% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.30 76.9% 1.34 74.6% 1.33 75.2% 1.28 78.1% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9%
Match center
Genoa
D L L W D
15.02 14:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 0:0 CremoneseCremonese
07.02 17:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 2:3 NapoliNapoli
30.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Genoa 2:3 LazioLazio
25.01 14:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 3:2 BolognaBologna
18.01 11:30 UTC Serie A
Genoa 0:0 ParmaParma
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.6 Conceded
5 Points
Torino
L D W L L
15.02 17:00 UTC Serie A
Torino 1:2 BolognaBologna
07.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Torino 2:2 FiorentinaFiorentina
01.02 11:30 UTC Serie A
Torino 1:0 LecceLecce
24.01 14:00 UTC Serie A
Torino 0:6 ComoComo
18.01 17:00 UTC Serie A
Torino 0:2 AS RomaAS Roma
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
2.4 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyGenoa - Torino

Genoa
1 matches total
Torino
Genoa: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Torino: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Torino 1:2 (26.10 11:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 26.10 11:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 1

Match history

26.10 11:30 UTC Serie A
Genoa
1:2
Torino