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Serie A
Serie A Italy
15.01.2026 17:30 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Hellas Verona - Bologna

Italy Football
Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona
2 : 3
Finished
Bologna
Bologna

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Hellas Verona - Bologna January 15, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Bologna.

Line favourite market consensus: Bologna. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.71 / X 3.08 / 2 2.19
  • 1X2 market: Hellas Verona 25.6% / X 30.9% / Bologna 43.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 60.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 25.7%
X 30.9%
2 43.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.0%
Over 2.5 39.7%
Under 2.5 60.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.01.2026 17:30 UTC
Match center

Hellas Verona - Bologna

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.19 market consensus · line only
X 3.08 market consensus · line only
1 3.72 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.29 market consensus · line only
12 1.37 market consensus · line only
1X 1.70 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.29 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.07 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.17 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.48 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.40 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.58 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.77 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.00 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.86 25.9%
X 3.18 31.5%
2.20 45.5%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.65 27.4% 3.90 25.6% 3.76 26.6% 3.50 28.6% 3.80 26.3% 3.70 27.0%
X 3.05 32.8% 3.10 32.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.05 32.8%
2.18 45.9% 2.16 46.3% 2.29 43.7% 2.15 46.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.78 56.2% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.81 55.3%
yes 2.00 50.0% 2.02 49.5% 1.98 50.5% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 1.98 50.5% 2.00 50.0% 1.99 50.3% 2.08 48.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.28 78.1% 1.32 75.8% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.31 76.3%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.35 74.1% 1.40 71.4%
home_draw 1.65 60.6% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8%
Match center
Hellas Verona
L D L L W
11.01 17:00 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 0:1 LazioLazio
07.01 17:30 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 2:2 NapoliNapoli
04.01 17:00 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 0:3 TorinoTorino
28.12 11:30 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 0:3 AC MilanAC Milan
14.12 14:00 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 2:1 FiorentinaFiorentina
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
2.0 Conceded
4 Points
Bologna
D L L D L
10.01 14:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 1:1 ComoComo
07.01 17:30 UTC Serie A
Bologna 0:2 AtalantaAtalanta
04.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Bologna 1:3 InterInter
28.12 17:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 1:1 SassuoloSassuolo
14.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Bologna 0:1 JuventusJuventus
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.6 Conceded
2 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyHellas Verona - Bologna

Hellas Verona
0 matches total
Bologna
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history