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Serie A
Serie A Italy
28.04.2025 18:45 UTC Match prediction
28.04.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Hellas Verona - Cagliari

Italy Football
Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona
0 : 2
Finished
Cagliari
Cagliari

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Hellas Verona - Cagliari April 28, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Hellas Verona.

Line favourite market consensus: Hellas Verona. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.60 / X 2.72 / 2 3.55
  • 1X2 market: Hellas Verona 37.2% / X 35.6% / Cagliari 27.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 61.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.4%
1 37.2%
X 35.6%
2 27.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.7%
Over 2.5 38.6%
Under 2.5 61.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 28.04.2025 18:45 UTC
Match center

Hellas Verona - Cagliari

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.55 market consensus · line only
X 2.72 market consensus · line only
1 2.60 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.55 market consensus · line only
12 1.47 market consensus · line only
1X 1.34 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.50 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.57 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.60 38.5%
X 2.72 36.8%
3.55 28.2%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.55 64.5%
home_away 1.47 68.0%
home_draw 1.34 74.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 2.50 40.0%
Under 2.5 1.57 63.7%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.66 60.2%
2.29 43.7%
Match center
Hellas Verona
L D D L L
19.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 0:1 AS RomaAS Roma
13.04 13:00 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 0:0 GenoaGenoa
06.04 13:00 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 1:1 TorinoTorino
29.10 17:30 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 0:1 LecceLecce
26.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 1:6 AtalantaAtalanta
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.4 Scored
1.8 Conceded
2 Points
Cagliari
L L D L L
23.04 16:30 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 1:2 FiorentinaFiorentina
12.04 16:00 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 1:3 InterInter
06.04 13:00 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 0:0 Empoli
29.10 17:30 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 0:2 BolognaBologna
25.10 16:30 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 0:2 UdineseUdinese
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
0.4 Scored
1.8 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyHellas Verona - Cagliari

Hellas Verona
0 matches total
Cagliari
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history