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Serie A Italy

26.10.2025 14:00 UTC Match prediction

26.10.2025 14:00 UTC

Finished

Serie A

Hellas Verona - Cagliari

Italy Football

Hellas Verona

2 : 2

Finished

Cagliari

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Hellas Verona - Cagliari October 26, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Hellas Verona.

Line favourite market consensus: Hellas Verona. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.14 / X 3.10 / 2 3.91
1X2 market: Hellas Verona 44.7% / X 30.8% / Cagliari 24.5%
Total 2.5: over probability 60.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.6%

1 44.7%

X 30.9%

2 24.5%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.0%

Over 2.5 39.3%

Under 2.5 60.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 26.10.2025 14:00 UTC

Match center

Hellas Verona - Cagliari

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.92 market consensus · line only

X 3.10 market consensus · line only

1 2.14 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.74 market consensus · line only

12 1.37 market consensus · line only

1X 1.26 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.78 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.33 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 3.89 market consensus · line only

2 +1 7.20 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.42 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.57 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.74 market consensus · line only

Yes 2.03 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	2.13 47.0%
X	3.16 31.7%
	4.13 24.2%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
	2.10 47.6%	2.11 47.4%	2.20 45.5%	2.10 47.6%	2.10 47.6%	2.05 48.8%
X	3.10 32.3%	3.15 31.8%	3.24 30.9%	3.10 32.3%	3.05 32.8%	3.00 33.3%
	3.85 26.0%	4.00 25.0%	3.97 25.2%	4.00 25.0%	4.05 24.7%	3.90 25.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	Superbet
no	1.73 57.8%	1.78 56.2%	1.72 58.1%	1.75 57.1%	1.75 57.1%	1.75 57.1%	1.71 58.5%	1.79 55.9%	1.74 57.5%
yes	2.00 50.0%	2.05 48.8%	2.02 49.5%	2.00 50.0%	2.02 49.5%	2.00 50.0%	2.02 49.5%	2.11 47.4%	2.05 48.8%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
draw_away	1.70 58.8%	1.75 57.1%	1.70 58.8%	1.78 56.2%	1.75 57.1%	1.79 55.9%
home_away	1.30 76.9%	1.40 71.4%	1.36 73.5%	1.35 74.1%	1.39 71.9%	1.40 71.4%
home_draw	1.25 80.0%	1.29 77.5%	1.25 80.0%	1.26 79.4%	1.28 78.1%	1.27 78.7%