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Serie A
Serie A Italy
15.09.2025 16:30 UTC Match prediction
15.09.2025 16:30 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Hellas Verona - Cremonese

Italy Football
Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona
0 : 0
Finished
Cremonese
Cremonese

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Hellas Verona - Cremonese September 15, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Cremonese.

Line favourite market consensus: Cremonese. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.87 / X 2.99 / 2 2.72
  • 1X2 market: Hellas Verona 33.2% / X 31.8% / Cremonese 35.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 61.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 33.2%
X 31.8%
2 35.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.9%
Over 2.5 38.9%
Under 2.5 61.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.09.2025 16:30 UTC
Match center

Hellas Verona - Cremonese

Form 5/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.73 market consensus · line only
X 2.99 market consensus · line only
1 2.87 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.43 market consensus · line only
12 1.39 market consensus · line only
1X 1.46 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.46 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.15 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.65 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.69 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.45 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.56 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.78 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.98 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.94 34.0%
X 3.05 32.8%
2.79 35.8%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.94 34.0% 2.95 33.9% 3.02 33.1% 2.75 36.4% 3.00 33.3% 2.90 34.5%
X 2.96 33.8% 3.00 33.3% 3.11 32.2% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3% 2.95 33.9%
2.62 38.2% 2.69 37.2% 2.76 36.2% 2.63 38.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.72 36.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Dafabet Marathonbet
no 1.75 57.1% 1.82 55.0% 1.74 57.5% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.73 57.8%
yes 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.99 50.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.93 51.8% 1.95 51.3% 1.99 50.3% 1.99 50.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Dafabet
draw_away 1.40 71.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.44 69.4% 1.55 64.5%
home_away 1.33 75.2% 1.42 70.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.38 72.5% 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.48 67.6% 1.51 66.2% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.35 74.1%
Match center
Hellas Verona
L D W D D
31.08 18:45 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 0:4 LazioLazio
25.08 16:30 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 1:1 UdineseUdinese
25.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 2:1 Empoli
18.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 1:1 ComoComo
11.05 13:00 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 1:1 LecceLecce
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.6 Conceded
6 Points
Cremonese
W W
29.08 16:30 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 3:2 SassuoloSassuolo
23.08 18:45 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 2:1 AC MilanAC Milan
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.5 Scored
1.5 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyHellas Verona - Cremonese

Hellas Verona
0 matches total
Cremonese
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history