AI verdict

AI pick Genoa win probability ~39% confidence Low best odds 2.43

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Genoa. Full breakdown below.

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Serie A
Serie A Italy
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
15.03.2026 11:30 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Hellas Verona vs Genoa — Football prediction

Italy Football
Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona
0 : 2
Finished
Genoa
Genoa

Hellas Verona face Genoa on March 15, 2026 in the Serie A, Italy.

Recent form (W-D-L): Hellas Verona 1-1-3, Genoa 2-1-2. These sides have met 3 times recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The bookmaker line makes Genoa the favourite at about 39%. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.

🎯 Safe pick confident

Double chance Genoa or draw 1.33

Model confidence 72% ~81% on our history

How often this pick wins on our settled history — not a profit forecast.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Hellas Verona - Genoa March 15, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Genoa.

Line favourite market consensus: Genoa. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.34 / X 2.91 / 2 2.43
  • 1X2 market: Hellas Verona 28.4% / X 32.6% / Genoa 39.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 64.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.4% 14 books · best price +3.7%
1 28.3%
X 32.7%
2 39.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.1%
Over 2.5 35.0%
Under 2.5 65.0%

Odds source: consensus of 14 books (10Bet, 188Bet, 1xBet, 888Sport, Bet365, Betano). This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.03.2026 11:30 UTC
Market 1 28.4% @ 3.34 / X 32.6% @ 2.91 / 2 39.0% @ 2.43
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Match center

Hellas Verona - Genoa

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.43 market consensus · line only
X 2.92 market consensus · line only
1 3.35 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.33 market consensus · line only
12 1.39 market consensus · line only
1X 1.57 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.34 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.08 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.38 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.16 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.69 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.45 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.65 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.17 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.49 28.7%
X 3.00 33.3%
2.45 40.8%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
3.20 31.3% 3.45 29.0% 3.50 28.6% 3.25 30.8% 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4%
X 2.96 33.8% 2.91 34.4% 3.00 33.3% 2.80 35.7% 2.88 34.7% 2.95 33.9%
2.36 42.4% 2.47 40.5% 2.53 39.5% 2.40 41.7% 2.40 41.7% 2.40 41.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.75 57.1% 1.67 59.9% 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.67 59.9% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.63 61.4%
yes 2.00 50.0% 2.21 45.3% 2.19 45.7% 2.15 46.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.19 45.7% 2.37 42.2%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.33 75.2% 1.35 74.1% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.34 74.6% 1.30 76.9%
home_away 1.33 75.2% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.38 72.5% 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.55 64.5% 1.59 62.9% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.60 62.5% 1.53 65.4%
Match center
Hellas Verona
W L L L D
08.03 14:00 UTC Seriya A
Hellas Verona 2:1 BolonyaBolonya
28.02 17:00 UTC Seriya A
Hellas Verona 1:2 NapoliNapoli
20.02 19:45 UTC Seriya A
Hellas Verona 0:3 SassuoloSassuolo
15.02 14:00 UTC Seriya A
Hellas Verona 1:2 Parma KalchoParma Kalcho
06.02 19:45 UTC Seriya A
Hellas Verona 0:0 PisaPisa
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.6 Conceded
4 Points
Genoa
W L W D L
08.03 17:00 UTC Seriya A
Genoa 2:1 RomaRoma
28.02 19:45 UTC Seriya A
Genoa 0:2 InterInter
22.02 11:30 UTC Seriya A
Genoa 3:0 TorinoTorino
15.02 14:00 UTC Seriya A
Genoa 0:0 CremoneseCremonese
07.02 17:00 UTC Seriya A
Genoa 2:3 NapoliNapoli
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Hellas Verona - Genoa

Hellas Verona
3 matches total
Genoa
Hellas Verona: 1 (33.3%)
Draws:1 (33.3%)
Genoa: 1 (33.4%)
Biggest win Hellas Verona 2:0 (01.09 16:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 29.11 14:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (13.04 13:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 3

Match history

29.11 14:00 UTC Seriya A
Hellas Verona
1:2
Dzhenoa
13.04 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Hellas Verona
0:0
Dzhenoa
01.09 16:30 UTC Seriya A
Hellas Verona
2:0
Dzhenoa

Frequently asked questions

What does PropickAI predict for Hellas Verona vs Genoa?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Genoa. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Hellas Verona vs Genoa?

Live odds for Hellas Verona vs Genoa from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Hellas Verona vs Genoa start?

March 15, 2026.