Serie A
Serie A Italy
15.03.2026 11:30 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Hellas Verona - Genoa

Italy Futbol
Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona
0 : 2
Finished
Genoa
Genoa

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Hellas Verona - Genoa 15 марта 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Genoa.

Line favourite market consensus: Genoa. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.34 / X 2.91 / 2 2.43
  • 1X2 market: Hellas Verona 28.4% / X 32.6% / Genoa 39.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 64.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.5%
1 28.4%
X 32.6%
2 39.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.1%
Over 2.5 35.0%
Under 2.5 65.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.03.2026 11:30 UTC
Match center

Hellas Verona - Genoa

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.43 market consensus · line only
X 2.92 market consensus · line only
1 3.35 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.33 market consensus · line only
12 1.39 market consensus · line only
1X 1.57 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.34 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.08 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.38 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.16 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.69 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.45 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.65 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.17 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.49 28.7%
Х 3.00 33.3%
П2 2.45 40.8%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 3.20 31.3% 3.45 29.0% 3.50 28.6% 3.25 30.8% 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4%
Х 2.96 33.8% 2.91 34.4% 3.00 33.3% 2.80 35.7% 2.88 34.7% 2.95 33.9%
П2 2.36 42.4% 2.47 40.5% 2.53 39.5% 2.40 41.7% 2.40 41.7% 2.40 41.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.75 57.1% 1.67 59.9% 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.67 59.9% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.63 61.4%
yes 2.00 50.0% 2.21 45.3% 2.19 45.7% 2.15 46.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.19 45.7% 2.37 42.2%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.33 75.2% 1.35 74.1% 1.33 75.2% 1.33 75.2% 1.34 74.6% 1.30 76.9%
home_away 1.33 75.2% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.38 72.5% 1.36 73.5%
home_draw 1.55 64.5% 1.59 62.9% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.60 62.5% 1.53 65.4%
Match center
Hellas Verona
W L L L D
08.03 14:00 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 2:1 BolognaBologna
28.02 17:00 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 1:2 NapoliNapoli
20.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 0:3 SassuoloSassuolo
15.02 14:00 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 1:2 ParmaParma
06.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 0:0 PisaPisa
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.6 Conceded
4 Points
Genoa
W L W D L
08.03 17:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 2:1 AS RomaAS Roma
28.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Genoa 0:2 InterInter
22.02 11:30 UTC Serie A
Genoa 3:0 TorinoTorino
15.02 14:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 0:0 CremoneseCremonese
07.02 17:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 2:3 NapoliNapoli
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyHellas Verona - Genoa

Hellas Verona
3 matches total
Genoa
Hellas Verona: 1 (33.3%)
Draws:1 (33.3%)
Genoa: 1 (33.4%)
Biggest win Hellas Verona 2:0 (01.09 16:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 29.11 14:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (13.04 13:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 3

Match history

29.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona
1:2
Genoa
13.04 13:00 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona
0:0
Genoa
01.09 16:30 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona
2:0
Genoa