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Serie A
Serie A Italy
23.11.2025 11:30 UTC Match prediction
23.11.2025 11:30 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Hellas Verona - Parma

Italy Football
Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona
1 : 2
Finished
Parma
Parma

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Hellas Verona - Parma November 23, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Hellas Verona.

Line favourite market consensus: Hellas Verona. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.27 / X 2.98 / 2 3.58
  • 1X2 market: Hellas Verona 41.7% / X 31.8% / Parma 26.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 62.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.5%
1 41.7%
X 31.8%
2 26.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 37.9%
Under 2.5 62.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 23.11.2025 11:30 UTC
Match center

Hellas Verona - Parma

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.59 market consensus · line only
X 2.99 market consensus · line only
1 2.27 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.64 market consensus · line only
12 1.37 market consensus · line only
1X 1.30 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.26 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.60 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.20 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.52 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.54 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.73 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.05 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.31 43.3%
X 3.06 32.7%
3.73 26.8%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.22 45.1% 2.28 43.9% 2.38 42.0% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.27 44.1%
X 3.00 33.3% 2.99 33.4% 3.11 32.2% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3% 2.95 33.9%
3.60 27.8% 3.70 27.0% 3.66 27.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.60 27.8% 3.65 27.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.70 58.8% 1.76 56.8% 1.72 58.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.76 56.8%
yes 2.05 48.8% 2.07 48.3% 2.03 49.3% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.02 49.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.03 49.3% 2.14 46.7%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.65 60.6%
home_away 1.33 75.2% 1.42 70.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.37 73.0% 1.41 70.9%
home_draw 1.28 78.1% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.31 76.3% 1.32 75.8%
Match center
Hellas Verona
D L L D D
08.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 0:0 LecceLecce
02.11 11:30 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 1:2 InterInter
29.10 17:30 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 1:3 ComoComo
26.10 14:00 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 2:2 CagliariCagliari
18.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 0:0 PisaPisa
0 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
3 Points
Parma
D L L D D
08.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
Parma 2:2 AC MilanAC Milan
02.11 17:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 1:3 BolognaBologna
29.10 17:30 UTC Serie A
Parma 1:2 AS RomaAS Roma
25.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 0:0 ComoComo
19.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 0:0 GenoaGenoa
0 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyHellas Verona - Parma

Hellas Verona
0 matches total
Parma
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history