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Serie A
Serie A Italy
03.10.2025 18:45 UTC Match prediction
03.10.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Hellas Verona - Sassuolo

Italy Football
Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona
0 : 1
Finished
Sassuolo
Sassuolo

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Hellas Verona - Sassuolo October 3, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Hellas Verona.

Line favourite market consensus: Hellas Verona. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.45 / X 3.10 / 2 3.10
  • 1X2 market: Hellas Verona 38.8% / X 30.6% / Sassuolo 30.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 38.8%
X 30.6%
2 30.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 41.6%
Under 2.5 58.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 03.10.2025 18:45 UTC
Match center

Hellas Verona - Sassuolo

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.11 market consensus · line only
X 3.10 market consensus · line only
1 2.45 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.56 market consensus · line only
12 1.37 market consensus · line only
1X 1.38 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.58 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.21 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.10 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.69 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.30 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.64 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.86 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.89 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.52 39.7%
X 3.09 32.4%
3.26 30.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.45 40.8% 2.44 41.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.40 41.7% 2.40 41.7% 2.47 40.5%
X 3.05 32.8% 3.15 31.8% 3.36 29.8% 3.10 32.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.00 33.3%
3.05 32.8% 3.15 31.8% 3.15 31.8% 2.90 34.5% 3.20 31.3% 3.20 31.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.85 54.1% 1.89 52.9% 1.82 55.0% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.87 53.5% 1.80 55.6% 1.95 51.3%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.92 52.1% 1.90 52.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.95 51.3% 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.90 52.6% 1.92 52.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.53 65.4% 1.60 62.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.60 62.5%
home_away 1.33 75.2% 1.37 73.0% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.37 73.0% 1.37 73.0%
home_draw 1.36 73.5% 1.41 70.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.38 72.5% 1.41 70.9%
Match center
Hellas Verona
L D D L D
28.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 0:2 AS RomaAS Roma
20.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 1:1 JuventusJuventus
15.09 16:30 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 0:0 CremoneseCremonese
31.08 18:45 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 0:4 LazioLazio
25.08 16:30 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 1:1 UdineseUdinese
0 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
0.4 Scored
1.6 Conceded
3 Points
Sassuolo
W L W L L
28.09 10:30 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 3:1 UdineseUdinese
21.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 1:2 InterInter
14.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 1:0 LazioLazio
29.08 16:30 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 2:3 CremoneseCremonese
23.08 16:30 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 0:2 NapoliNapoli
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.6 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyHellas Verona - Sassuolo

Hellas Verona
0 matches total
Sassuolo
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history