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Serie A
Serie A Italy
04.10.2025 16:00 UTC Match prediction
04.10.2025 16:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Inter - Cremonese

Italy Football
Inter
Inter
4 : 1
Finished
Cremonese
Cremonese

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Inter - Cremonese October 4, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Inter.

Line favourite market consensus: Inter. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.20 / X 6.83 / 2 14.87
  • 1X2 market: Inter 79.5% / X 14.0% / Cremonese 6.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 61.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%
1 79.6%
X 14.0%
2 6.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.7%
Over 2.5 61.1%
Under 2.5 38.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.10.2025 16:00 UTC
Match center

Inter - Cremonese

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 6.87 market consensus · line only
1 1.20 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 4.60 market consensus · line only
12 1.11 market consensus · line only
1X 1.03 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 4.58 market consensus · line only
2 -1 3.66 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.19 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.26 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.55 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.43 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.58 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.32 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.19 84.0%
X 7.41 13.5%
16.84 5.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.19 84.0% 1.21 82.6% 1.25 80.0% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.23 81.3%
X 6.50 15.4% 7.10 14.1% 6.85 14.6% 6.50 15.4% 6.50 15.4% 6.80 14.7%
14.50 6.9% 13.50 7.4% 14.00 7.1% 13.00 7.7% 17.00 5.9% 15.50 6.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.56 64.1% 1.62 61.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.60 62.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.54 64.9% 1.56 64.1%
yes 2.25 44.4% 2.42 41.3% 2.29 43.7% 2.20 45.5% 2.38 42.0% 2.27 44.1% 2.25 44.4% 2.32 43.1% 2.51 39.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 4.33 23.1% 4.38 22.8% 4.50 22.2% 4.50 22.2% 4.55 22.0% 4.75 21.1%
home_away 1.10 90.9% 1.14 87.7% 1.13 88.5% 1.11 90.1% 1.11 90.1% 1.12 89.3%
home_draw 1.04 96.2% 1.04 96.2% 1.04 96.2% 1.02 98.0% 1.05 95.2% 1.03 97.1%
Match center
Inter
W W L L W
27.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 2:0 CagliariCagliari
21.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 2:1 SassuoloSassuolo
13.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Inter 3:4 JuventusJuventus
31.08 18:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 1:2 UdineseUdinese
25.08 18:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 5:0 TorinoTorino
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
2.6 Scored
1.4 Conceded
9 Points
Cremonese
D D D W W
27.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 1:1 ComoComo
21.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 0:0 ParmaParma
15.09 16:30 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 0:0 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
29.08 16:30 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 3:2 SassuoloSassuolo
23.08 18:45 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 2:1 AC MilanAC Milan
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.2 Scored
0.8 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyInter - Cremonese

Inter
0 matches total
Cremonese
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history