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Serie A
Serie A Italy
14.02.2026 19:45 UTC Match prediction
14.02.2026 19:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Inter - Juventus

Italy Football
Inter
Inter
3 : 2
Finished
Juventus
Juventus

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Inter - Juventus February 14, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Inter.

Line favourite market consensus: Inter. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.07 / X 3.27 / 2 3.83
  • 1X2 market: Inter 46.0% / X 29.1% / Juventus 24.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 46.0%
X 29.1%
2 24.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.3%
Over 2.5 46.8%
Under 2.5 53.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.02.2026 19:45 UTC
Match center

Inter - Juventus

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.84 market consensus · line only
X 3.28 market consensus · line only
1 2.07 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.77 market consensus · line only
12 1.33 market consensus · line only
1X 1.26 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.81 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.38 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.73 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.27 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.05 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.80 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.94 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.82 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.09 47.9%
X 3.38 29.6%
4.02 24.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.00 50.0% 2.06 48.5% 2.18 45.9% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.12 47.2%
X 3.20 31.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4% 3.25 30.8% 3.25 30.8% 3.35 29.9%
3.85 26.0% 3.90 25.6% 3.80 26.3% 3.50 28.6% 3.90 25.6% 3.95 25.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.91 52.4% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 1.85 54.1% 1.95 51.3% 1.93 51.8% 1.91 52.4% 2.04 49.0% 2.03 49.3%
yes 1.83 54.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.78 56.2% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.85 54.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.77 56.5% 1.76 56.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.78 56.2% 1.73 57.8%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.36 73.5% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.25 80.0% 1.31 76.3% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.20 83.3%
Match center
Inter
W W W W W
08.02 17:00 UTC Serie A
Inter 5:0 SassuoloSassuolo
01.02 17:00 UTC Serie A
Inter 2:0 CremoneseCremonese
23.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 6:2 PisaPisa
17.01 14:00 UTC Serie A
Inter 1:0 UdineseUdinese
14.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 1:0 LecceLecce
5 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
0.4 Conceded
15 Points
Juventus
D W W L W
08.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 2:2 LazioLazio
01.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 4:1 ParmaParma
25.01 17:00 UTC Serie A
Juventus 3:0 NapoliNapoli
17.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 0:1 CagliariCagliari
12.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 5:0 CremoneseCremonese
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
2.8 Scored
0.8 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyInter - Juventus

Inter
2 matches total
Juventus
Inter: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Juventus: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Juventus 3:4 (13.09 16:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 8 goals (4:4, 27.10 16:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 4:4 (27.10 16:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

7 Goals scored 8
8 Goals conceded 7

Match history

13.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Inter
3:4
Juventus
27.10 16:00 UTC Serie A
Inter
4:4
Juventus