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Serie A
Serie A Italy
23.01.2026 19:45 UTC Match prediction
23.01.2026 19:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Inter - Pisa

Italy Football
Inter
Inter
6 : 2
Finished
Pisa
Pisa

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Inter - Pisa January 23, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Inter.

Line favourite market consensus: Inter. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.25 / X 6.28 / 2 10.91
  • 1X2 market: Inter 76.1% / X 15.2% / Pisa 8.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 64.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 76.1%
X 15.2%
2 8.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.1%
Over 2.5 64.6%
Under 2.5 35.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 23.01.2026 19:45 UTC
Match center

Inter - Pisa

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 6.29 market consensus · line only
1 1.25 market consensus · line only
2 9.90 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.97 market consensus · line only
12 1.12 market consensus · line only
1X 1.06 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.77 market consensus · line only
2 -1 3.14 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 8.60 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.24 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.46 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.66 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.86 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.89 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.26 79.4%
X 6.38 15.7%
11.14 9.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.20 83.3% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1%
X 5.80 17.2% 6.50 15.4% 6.55 15.3% 6.50 15.4% 6.25 16.0% 6.20 16.1%
10.25 9.8% 11.00 9.1% 11.40 8.8% 11.00 9.1% 11.00 9.1% 12.00 8.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.83 54.6% 1.86 53.8% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.86 53.8%
yes 1.90 52.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.95 51.3% 1.85 54.1% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.99 50.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 3.75 26.7% 3.98 25.1% 4.20 23.8% 3.75 26.7% 3.95 25.3% 4.05 24.7%
home_away 1.12 89.3% 1.14 87.7% 1.11 90.1% 1.11 90.1% 1.13 88.5% 1.13 88.5%
home_draw 1.05 95.2% 1.05 95.2% 1.05 95.2% 1.06 94.3% 1.07 93.5% 1.06 94.3%
Match center
Inter
W W D W W
17.01 14:00 UTC Serie A
Inter 1:0 UdineseUdinese
14.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 1:0 LecceLecce
11.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 2:2 NapoliNapoli
07.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 2:0 ParmaParma
04.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 3:1 BolognaBologna
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.8 Scored
0.6 Conceded
13 Points
Pisa
D D L D L
16.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Pisa 1:1 AtalantaAtalanta
10.01 14:00 UTC Serie A
Pisa 2:2 UdineseUdinese
06.01 14:00 UTC Serie A
Pisa 0:3 ComoComo
03.01 14:00 UTC Serie A
Pisa 1:1 GenoaGenoa
27.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Pisa 0:2 JuventusJuventus
0 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.8 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyInter - Pisa

Inter
1 matches total
Pisa
Inter: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Pisa: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Inter 2:0 (30.11 14:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (2:0, 30.11 14:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 2

Match history

30.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Inter
2:0
Pisa