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Serie A
Serie A Italy
21.09.2025 18:45 UTC Match prediction
21.09.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Inter - Sassuolo

Italy Football
Inter
Inter
2 : 1
Finished
Sassuolo
Sassuolo

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Inter - Sassuolo September 21, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Inter.

Line favourite market consensus: Inter. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.31 / X 5.58 / 2 9.33
  • 1X2 market: Inter 72.7% / X 17.1% / Sassuolo 10.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 63.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 72.7%
X 17.1%
2 10.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.6%
Over 2.5 63.4%
Under 2.5 36.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 21.09.2025 18:45 UTC
Match center

Inter - Sassuolo

Form 5/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.31 market consensus · line only
X 5.58 market consensus · line only
1 1.31 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.54 market consensus · line only
12 1.15 market consensus · line only
1X 1.07 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.54 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.79 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 7.50 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.32 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.48 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.56 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.94 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.82 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.32 75.8%
X 5.62 17.8%
9.95 10.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Betano Betfair
1.31 76.3% 1.32 75.8% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.34 74.6% 1.29 77.5%
X 5.50 18.2% 5.80 17.2% 6.11 16.4% 5.00 20.0% 5.60 17.9% 5.50 18.2%
8.60 11.6% 8.80 11.4% 10.00 10.0% 9.00 11.1% 10.25 9.8% 9.50 10.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 1.95 51.3% 1.99 50.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.89 52.9% 1.97 50.8% 1.95 51.3%
yes 1.77 56.5% 1.83 54.6% 1.81 55.3% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.81 55.3% 1.89 52.9% 1.83 54.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 3.30 30.3% 3.64 27.5% 3.60 27.8% 3.45 29.0% 3.62 27.6% 3.65 27.4%
home_away 1.10 90.9% 1.16 86.2% 1.15 87.0% 1.15 87.0% 1.14 87.7% 1.18 84.8%
home_draw 1.07 93.5% 1.07 93.5% 1.06 94.3% 1.08 92.6% 1.06 94.3% 1.08 92.6%
Match center
Inter
L L W W D
13.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Inter 3:4 JuventusJuventus
31.08 18:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 1:2 UdineseUdinese
25.08 18:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 5:0 TorinoTorino
23.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 2:0 ComoComo
18.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 2:2 LazioLazio
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
2.6 Scored
1.6 Conceded
7 Points
Sassuolo
W L L
14.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 1:0 LazioLazio
29.08 16:30 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 2:3 CremoneseCremonese
23.08 16:30 UTC Serie A
Sassuolo 0:2 NapoliNapoli
1 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.7 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyInter - Sassuolo

Inter
0 matches total
Sassuolo
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history