Serie A
Serie A Italy
29.11.2025 17:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Juventus - Cagliari

Italy Futbol
Juventus
Juventus
2 : 1
Finished
Cagliari
Cagliari

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Juventus - Cagliari 29 ноября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Juventus.

Line favourite market consensus: Juventus. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.25 / X 5.94 / 2 11.75
  • 1X2 market: Juventus 75.8% / X 16.0% / Cagliari 8.1%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 75.9%
X 16.0%
2 8.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 58.7%
Under 2.5 41.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.11.2025 17:00 UTC
Match center

Juventus - Cagliari

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 5.96 market consensus · line only
1 1.25 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.90 market consensus · line only
12 1.14 market consensus · line only
1X 1.05 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 3.74 market consensus · line only
2 -1 3.04 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.28 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.38 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.63 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.32 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.66 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.16 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.25 80.0%
Х 6.31 15.9%
П2 12.96 7.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1%
Х 5.80 17.2% 6.30 15.9% 6.06 16.5% 5.50 18.2% 6.00 16.7% 6.10 16.4%
П2 11.50 8.7% 12.00 8.3% 12.50 8.0% 11.00 9.1% 11.00 9.1% 12.00 8.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.70 58.8% 1.66 60.2% 1.63 61.4% 1.70 58.8% 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.61 62.1% 1.68 59.5%
yes 2.05 48.8% 2.23 44.8% 2.17 46.1% 2.10 47.6% 2.20 45.5% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.17 46.1% 2.27 44.1%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 3.85 26.0% 3.92 25.5% 3.60 27.8% 3.75 26.7% 3.90 25.6% 4.00 25.0%
home_away 1.12 89.3% 1.16 86.2% 1.15 87.0% 1.12 89.3% 1.13 88.5% 1.15 87.0%
home_draw 1.04 96.2% 1.04 96.2% 1.06 94.3% 1.05 95.2% 1.06 94.3% 1.05 95.2%
Match center
Juventus
D D W W L
22.11 17:00 UTC Serie A
Juventus 1:1 FiorentinaFiorentina
08.11 17:00 UTC Serie A
Juventus 0:0 TorinoTorino
01.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 2:1 CremoneseCremonese
29.10 17:30 UTC Serie A
Juventus 3:1 UdineseUdinese
26.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
Juventus 0:1 LazioLazio
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
0.8 Conceded
8 Points
Cagliari
D D L L D
22.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 3:3 GenoaGenoa
08.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 0:0 ComoComo
03.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 0:2 LazioLazio
30.10 17:30 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 1:2 SassuoloSassuolo
26.10 14:00 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 2:2 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
0 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.8 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyJuventus - Cagliari

Juventus
1 matches total
Cagliari
Juventus: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Cagliari: 0 (0%)
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 06.10 10:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (06.10 10:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 1

Match history

06.10 10:30 UTC Serie A
Juventus
1:1
Cagliari