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Serie A
Serie A Italy
07.12.2025 17:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Lazio - Bologna

Italy Football
Lazio
Lazio
1 : 1
Finished
Bologna
Bologna

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lazio - Bologna December 7, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lazio.

Line favourite market consensus: Lazio. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.51 / X 3.05 / 2 3.08
  • 1X2 market: Lazio 37.9% / X 31.2% / Bologna 30.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 37.9%
X 31.2%
2 30.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.9%
Over 2.5 42.9%
Under 2.5 57.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 07.12.2025 17:00 UTC
Market 1 37.9% @ 2.51 / X 31.2% @ 3.05 / 2 30.9% @ 3.08
Match center

Lazio - Bologna

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.09 market consensus · line only
X 3.05 market consensus · line only
1 2.51 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.54 market consensus · line only
12 1.38 market consensus · line only
1X 1.38 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.56 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.22 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.03 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.79 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.22 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.89 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.87 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.56 39.1%
X 3.09 32.4%
3.20 31.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.50 40.0% 2.51 39.8% 2.59 38.6% 2.50 40.0% 2.45 40.8% 2.50 40.0%
X 3.05 32.8% 3.05 32.8% 3.18 31.5% 2.90 34.5% 3.10 32.3% 3.05 32.8%
3.05 32.8% 3.15 31.8% 3.18 31.5% 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.85 54.1% 1.96 51.0% 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.99 50.3%
yes 1.85 54.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.86 53.8% 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.80 55.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.88 53.2%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.50 66.7% 1.56 64.1% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7%
home_away 1.33 75.2% 1.41 70.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.35 74.1% 1.40 71.4%
home_draw 1.36 73.5% 1.41 70.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.39 71.9% 1.39 71.9%
Match center
Lazio
L W L W D
29.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 0:1 AC MilanAC Milan
23.11 17:00 UTC Serie A
Lazio 2:0 LecceLecce
09.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 0:2 InterInter
03.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 2:0 CagliariCagliari
30.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 0:0 PisaPisa
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
0.6 Conceded
7 Points
Bologna
L W W W D
01.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Bologna 1:3 CremoneseCremonese
22.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 3:0 UdineseUdinese
09.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 2:0 NapoliNapoli
02.11 17:00 UTC Serie A
Bologna 3:1 ParmaParma
29.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
Bologna 0:0 TorinoTorino
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
0.8 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLazio - Bologna

Lazio
0 matches total
Bologna
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history