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Serie A
Serie A Italy
03.11.2025 19:45 UTC Match prediction
03.11.2025 19:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Lazio - Cagliari

Italy Football
Lazio
Lazio
2 : 0
Finished
Cagliari
Cagliari

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lazio - Cagliari November 3, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lazio.

Line favourite market consensus: Lazio. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.63 / X 3.73 / 2 5.98
  • 1X2 market: Lazio 58.5% / X 25.5% / Cagliari 16.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 58.5%
X 25.6%
2 15.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 46.2%
Under 2.5 53.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 03.11.2025 19:45 UTC
Match center

Lazio - Cagliari

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.99 market consensus · line only
X 3.74 market consensus · line only
1 1.63 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.32 market consensus · line only
12 1.27 market consensus · line only
1X 1.14 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.35 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.76 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 5.63 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.62 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.07 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.78 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.76 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.01 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.65 60.6%
X 3.81 26.3%
6.20 16.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.59 62.9% 1.61 62.1% 1.68 59.5% 1.60 62.5% 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9%
X 3.70 27.0% 3.80 26.3% 3.86 25.9% 3.75 26.7% 3.70 27.0% 3.75 26.7%
6.20 16.1% 6.30 15.9% 6.23 16.1% 5.50 18.2% 6.00 16.7% 6.30 15.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.73 57.8% 1.77 56.5% 1.74 57.5% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.72 58.1% 1.78 56.2%
yes 2.00 50.0% 2.06 48.5% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.12 47.2%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.30 43.5% 2.33 42.9% 2.30 43.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.34 42.7%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.11 90.1% 1.16 86.2% 1.14 87.7% 1.12 89.3% 1.15 87.0% 1.14 87.7%
Match center
Lazio
D W D D W
30.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 0:0 PisaPisa
26.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 1:0 JuventusJuventus
19.10 16:00 UTC Serie A
Lazio 0:0 AtalantaAtalanta
04.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Lazio 3:3 TorinoTorino
29.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 3:0 GenoaGenoa
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.6 Conceded
9 Points
Cagliari
L D L D L
30.10 17:30 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 1:2 SassuoloSassuolo
26.10 14:00 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 2:2 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
19.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 0:2 BolognaBologna
05.10 10:30 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 1:1 UdineseUdinese
27.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Cagliari 0:2 InterInter
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.8 Conceded
2 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLazio - Cagliari

Lazio
0 matches total
Cagliari
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history