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Serie A
Serie A Italy
19.01.2026 19:45 UTC Match prediction
19.01.2026 19:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Lazio - Como

Italy Football
Lazio
Lazio
0 : 3
Finished
Como
Como

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lazio - Como January 19, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Como.

Line favourite market consensus: Como. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.98 / X 2.84 / 2 2.75
  • 1X2 market: Lazio 31.9% / X 33.4% / Como 34.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 63.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 31.9%
X 33.5%
2 34.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.6%
Over 2.5 36.0%
Under 2.5 64.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 19.01.2026 19:45 UTC
Match center

Lazio - Como

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.75 market consensus · line only
X 2.85 market consensus · line only
1 2.99 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.39 market consensus · line only
12 1.42 market consensus · line only
1X 1.46 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.41 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.12 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.65 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.96 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.63 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.48 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.72 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.06 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.12 32.1%
X 2.90 34.5%
2.76 36.2%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.94 34.0% 2.78 36.0% 3.13 32.0% 2.88 34.7% 3.00 33.3% 3.05 32.8%
X 2.84 35.2% 3.00 33.3% 2.93 34.1% 2.70 37.0% 2.90 34.5% 2.82 35.5%
2.64 37.9% 2.78 36.0% 2.82 35.5% 2.75 36.4% 2.70 37.0% 2.75 36.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.75 57.1% 1.85 54.1% 1.68 59.5% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.66 60.2% 1.76 56.8%
yes 2.00 50.0% 1.97 50.8% 2.09 47.9% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.09 47.9% 2.14 46.7%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.38 72.5% 1.42 70.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.41 70.9%
home_away 1.36 73.5% 1.46 68.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.45 69.0%
home_draw 1.45 69.0% 1.49 67.1% 1.40 71.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.48 67.6%
Match center
Lazio
W D L D D
11.01 17:00 UTC Serie A
Lazio 1:0 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
07.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 2:2 FiorentinaFiorentina
04.01 11:30 UTC Serie A
Lazio 0:2 NapoliNapoli
27.12 17:00 UTC Serie A
Lazio 1:1 UdineseUdinese
20.12 17:00 UTC Serie A
Lazio 0:0 CremoneseCremonese
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.0 Conceded
6 Points
Como
L D W W W
15.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Como 1:3 AC MilanAC Milan
10.01 14:00 UTC Serie A
Como 1:1 BolognaBologna
06.01 14:00 UTC Serie A
Como 3:0 PisaPisa
03.01 11:30 UTC Serie A
Como 1:0 UdineseUdinese
27.12 14:00 UTC Serie A
Como 3:0 LecceLecce
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
0.8 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLazio - Como

Lazio
2 matches total
Como
Lazio: 1 (50%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Como: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Lazio 5:1 (31.10 19:45 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 6 goals (5:1, 31.10 19:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

5 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 5

Match history

24.08 16:30 UTC Serie A
Lazio
0:2
Como
31.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio
5:1
Como