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Serie A
Serie A Italy
27.10.2024 13:00 UTC Match prediction
27.10.2024 13:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Lazio - Genoa

Italy Football
Lazio
Lazio
3 : 0
Finished
Genoa
Genoa

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lazio - Genoa October 27, 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lazio.

Line favourite market consensus: Lazio. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.42 / X 4.81 / 2 8.37
  • 1X2 market: Lazio 68.3% / X 20.2% / Genoa 11.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.2%
1 68.3%
X 20.2%
2 11.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.5%
Over 2.5 53.1%
Under 2.5 46.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 27.10.2024 13:00 UTC
Match center

Lazio - Genoa

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.37 market consensus · line only
X 4.81 market consensus · line only
1 1.42 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.10 market consensus · line only
12 1.22 market consensus · line only
1X 1.10 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.82 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.06 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.42 70.4%
X 4.81 20.8%
8.37 12.0%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 3.10 32.3%
home_away 1.22 82.0%
home_draw 1.10 90.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.82 55.0%
Under 2.5 2.06 48.5%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.14 87.7%
6.64 15.1%
Match center
Lazio
L W W L W
19.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 0:1 JuventusJuventus
06.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Lazio 2:1 Empoli
29.09 10:30 UTC Serie A
Lazio 3:2 TorinoTorino
22.09 10:30 UTC Serie A
Lazio 1:2 FiorentinaFiorentina
16.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 2:1 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.4 Conceded
9 Points
Genoa
D L L L D
19.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 2:2 BolognaBologna
05.10 16:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 1:5 AtalantaAtalanta
28.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 0:3 JuventusJuventus
21.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 0:2 Venezia
15.09 10:30 UTC Serie A
Genoa 1:1 AS RomaAS Roma
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
2.6 Conceded
2 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLazio - Genoa

Lazio
0 matches total
Genoa
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history