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Serie A
Serie A Italy
30.01.2026 19:45 UTC Match prediction
30.01.2026 19:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Lazio - Genoa

Italy Football
Lazio
Lazio
3 : 2
Finished
Genoa
Genoa

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lazio - Genoa January 30, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lazio.

Line favourite market consensus: Lazio. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.23 / X 2.89 / 2 3.89
  • 1X2 market: Lazio 42.6% / X 32.9% / Genoa 24.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 66.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 42.6%
X 32.9%
2 24.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.4%
Over 2.5 33.2%
Under 2.5 66.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 30.01.2026 19:45 UTC
Match center

Lazio - Genoa

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.89 market consensus · line only
X 2.90 market consensus · line only
1 2.23 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.67 market consensus · line only
12 1.41 market consensus · line only
1X 1.26 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.70 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.27 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.73 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.40 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.86 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.42 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.60 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.25 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.26 44.3%
X 2.99 33.4%
3.98 25.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.18 45.9% 2.23 44.8% 2.31 43.3% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4%
X 2.85 35.1% 2.88 34.7% 3.00 33.3% 2.80 35.7% 2.90 34.5% 2.90 34.5%
3.80 26.3% 4.05 24.7% 4.01 24.9% 3.70 27.0% 3.90 25.6% 3.90 25.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.57 63.7% 1.66 60.2% 1.58 63.3% 1.62 61.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.57 63.7% 1.64 61.0%
yes 2.30 43.5% 2.23 44.8% 2.25 44.4% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.20 45.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.25 44.4% 2.35 42.6%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.65 60.6% 1.69 59.2% 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.67 59.9% 1.68 59.5%
home_away 1.36 73.5% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.38 72.5% 1.44 69.4%
home_draw 1.25 80.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1%
Match center
Lazio
D L W D L
24.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 0:0 LecceLecce
19.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 0:3 ComoComo
11.01 17:00 UTC Serie A
Lazio 1:0 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
07.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 2:2 FiorentinaFiorentina
04.01 11:30 UTC Serie A
Lazio 0:2 NapoliNapoli
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.4 Conceded
5 Points
Genoa
W D W D D
25.01 14:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 3:2 BolognaBologna
18.01 11:30 UTC Serie A
Genoa 0:0 ParmaParma
12.01 17:30 UTC Serie A
Genoa 3:0 CagliariCagliari
08.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Genoa 1:1 AC MilanAC Milan
03.01 14:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 1:1 PisaPisa
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.8 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLazio - Genoa

Lazio
3 matches total
Genoa
Lazio: 3 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Genoa: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Lazio 3:0 (29.09 18:45 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (3:0, 29.09 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

8 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 8

Match history

29.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio
3:0
Genoa
23.04 16:30 UTC Serie A
Lazio
2:0
Genoa
27.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Lazio
3:0
Genoa