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Serie A
Serie A Italy
25.05.2025 18:45 UTC Match prediction
25.05.2025 18:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Lazio - Lecce

Italy Football
Lazio
Lazio
0 : 1
Finished
Lecce
Lecce

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lazio - Lecce May 25, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lazio.

Line favourite market consensus: Lazio. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.45 / X 4.60 / 2 8.10
  • 1X2 market: Lazio 66.9% / X 21.1% / Lecce 12.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 58.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.1%
1 66.9%
X 21.1%
2 12.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.3%
Over 2.5 58.6%
Under 2.5 41.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 25.05.2025 18:45 UTC
Match center

Lazio - Lecce

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.10 market consensus · line only
X 4.60 market consensus · line only
1 1.45 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.95 market consensus · line only
12 1.24 market consensus · line only
1X 1.10 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.65 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.34 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.45 69.0%
X 4.60 21.7%
8.10 12.4%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.95 33.9%
home_away 1.24 80.7%
home_draw 1.10 90.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.65 60.6%
Under 2.5 2.34 42.7%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.14 87.7%
6.43 15.6%
Match center
Lazio
D D W D W
18.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 2:2 InterInter
10.05 16:00 UTC Serie A
Lazio 1:1 JuventusJuventus
04.05 10:30 UTC Serie A
Lazio 1:0 Empoli
28.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 2:2 ParmaParma
23.04 16:30 UTC Serie A
Lazio 2:0 GenoaGenoa
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.0 Conceded
9 Points
Lecce
W D L D L
18.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Lecce 1:0 TorinoTorino
11.05 13:00 UTC Serie A
Lecce 1:1 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
03.05 16:00 UTC Serie A
Lecce 0:1 NapoliNapoli
27.04 18:45 UTC Serie A
Lecce 1:1 AtalantaAtalanta
19.04 13:00 UTC Serie A
Lecce 0:3 ComoComo
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.2 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLazio - Lecce

Lazio
0 matches total
Lecce
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history