PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
Serie A
Serie A Italy
23.11.2025 17:00 UTC Match prediction
23.11.2025 17:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Lazio - Lecce

Italy Football
Lazio
Lazio
2 : 0
Finished
Lecce
Lecce

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lazio - Lecce November 23, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lazio.

Line favourite market consensus: Lazio. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.77 / X 3.35 / 2 5.39
  • 1X2 market: Lazio 53.9% / X 28.4% / Lecce 17.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 53.9%
X 28.5%
2 17.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.1%
Over 2.5 40.2%
Under 2.5 59.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 23.11.2025 17:00 UTC
Match center

Lazio - Lecce

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.40 market consensus · line only
X 3.35 market consensus · line only
1 1.77 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.09 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 1.16 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.10 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.56 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 5.25 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.77 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.37 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.59 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.65 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.17 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.79 55.9%
X 3.39 29.5%
5.54 18.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.80 55.6%
X 3.30 30.3% 3.45 29.0% 3.50 28.6% 3.30 30.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.40 29.4%
5.40 18.5% 5.10 19.6% 5.52 18.1% 5.00 20.0% 5.50 18.2% 5.70 17.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.67 59.9% 1.68 59.5% 1.64 61.0% 1.65 60.6% 1.62 61.7% 1.70 58.8% 1.62 61.7% 1.63 61.4% 1.68 59.5%
yes 2.10 47.6% 2.21 45.3% 2.14 46.7% 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.07 48.3% 2.20 45.5% 2.14 46.7% 2.28 43.9%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.00 50.0% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.10 47.6%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.35 74.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.31 76.3% 1.35 74.1%
home_draw 1.15 87.0% 1.18 84.8% 1.17 85.5% 1.14 87.7% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5%
Match center
Lazio
L W D W D
09.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 0:2 InterInter
03.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 2:0 CagliariCagliari
30.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 0:0 PisaPisa
26.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 1:0 JuventusJuventus
19.10 16:00 UTC Serie A
Lazio 0:0 AtalantaAtalanta
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
0.6 Scored
0.4 Conceded
8 Points
Lecce
D W L L D
08.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Lecce 0:0 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
02.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Lecce 1:0 FiorentinaFiorentina
28.10 17:30 UTC Serie A
Lecce 0:1 NapoliNapoli
25.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Lecce 2:3 UdineseUdinese
18.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Lecce 0:0 SassuoloSassuolo
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.6 Scored
0.8 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLazio - Lecce

Lazio
1 matches total
Lecce
Lazio: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Lecce: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Lecce 0:1 (25.05 18:45 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 25.05 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 0

Match history

25.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio
0:1
Lecce