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Serie A
Serie A Italy
06.01.2026 17:00 UTC Match prediction
06.01.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Lecce - AS Roma

Italy Football
Lecce
Lecce
0 : 2
Finished
AS Roma
AS Roma

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lecce - AS Roma January 6, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AS Roma.

Line favourite market consensus: AS Roma. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.23 / X 3.40 / 2 1.78
  • 1X2 market: Lecce 18.3% / X 28.1% / AS Roma 53.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%
1 18.3%
X 28.1%
2 53.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.9%
Over 2.5 42.6%
Under 2.5 57.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 06.01.2026 17:00 UTC
Match center

Lecce - AS Roma

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.78 market consensus · line only
X 3.40 market consensus · line only
1 5.24 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.17 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 2.06 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.17 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.03 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.75 market consensus · line only
2 +1 2.45 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.24 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.66 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.74 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.04 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
5.40 18.5%
X 3.44 29.1%
1.79 55.9%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
5.10 19.6% 5.30 18.9% 5.44 18.4% 5.00 20.0% 5.50 18.2% 5.00 20.0%
X 3.40 29.4% 3.40 29.4% 3.50 28.6% 3.40 29.4% 3.45 29.0% 3.30 30.3%
1.75 57.1% 1.78 56.2% 1.83 54.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 1.73 57.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.71 58.5% 1.75 57.1% 1.78 56.2% 1.73 57.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.78 56.2% 1.75 57.1%
yes 2.05 48.8% 2.03 49.3% 2.04 49.0% 2.00 50.0% 1.98 50.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.03 49.3% 2.12 47.2% 2.05 48.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 1.17 85.5% 1.19 84.0% 1.17 85.5% 1.18 84.8% 1.18 84.8% 1.18 84.8%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.35 74.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.31 76.3% 1.34 74.6% 1.35 74.1%
home_draw 2.05 48.8% 2.09 47.9% 2.00 50.0% 2.07 48.3% 2.08 48.1% 2.12 47.2%
Match center
Lecce
D L W L W
03.01 17:00 UTC Serie A
Lecce 1:1 JuventusJuventus
27.12 14:00 UTC Serie A
Lecce 0:3 ComoComo
12.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Lecce 1:0 PisaPisa
07.12 11:30 UTC Serie A
Lecce 0:2 CremoneseCremonese
30.11 11:30 UTC Serie A
Lecce 2:1 TorinoTorino
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
7 Points
AS Roma
L W L W L
03.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 0:1 AtalantaAtalanta
29.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 3:1 GenoaGenoa
20.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 1:2 JuventusJuventus
15.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 1:0 ComoComo
07.12 14:00 UTC Serie A
AS Roma 0:1 CagliariCagliari
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLecce - AS Roma

Lecce
0 matches total
AS Roma
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history