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Serie A
Serie A Italy
08.03.2026 11:30 UTC Match prediction
08.03.2026 11:30 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Lecce - Cremonese

Italy Football
Lecce
Lecce
2 : 1
Finished
Cremonese
Cremonese

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lecce - Cremonese March 8, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lecce.

Line favourite market consensus: Lecce. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.31 / X 2.93 / 2 3.58
  • 1X2 market: Lecce 41.1% / X 32.4% / Cremonese 26.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 60.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.4%
1 41.1%
X 32.4%
2 26.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.4%
Over 2.5 39.5%
Under 2.5 60.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 08.03.2026 11:30 UTC
Match center

Lecce - Cremonese

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.59 market consensus · line only
X 2.93 market consensus · line only
1 2.31 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.63 market consensus · line only
12 1.39 market consensus · line only
1X 1.29 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.27 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.58 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.10 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.40 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.57 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.79 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.97 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.39 41.8%
X 2.95 33.9%
3.71 27.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.25 44.4% 2.35 42.6% 2.38 42.0% 2.30 43.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.35 42.6%
X 2.90 34.5% 2.95 33.9% 3.02 33.1% 2.90 34.5% 3.00 33.3% 2.87 34.8%
3.55 28.2% 3.60 27.8% 3.76 26.6% 3.30 30.3% 3.70 27.0% 3.65 27.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.80 55.6% 1.86 53.8% 1.78 56.2% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.76 56.8% 1.83 54.6%
yes 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.90 52.6% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.06 48.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.62 61.7% 1.67 59.9% 1.62 61.7% 1.57 63.7%
home_away 1.35 74.1% 1.44 69.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.39 71.9% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.28 78.1% 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9% 1.22 82.0% 1.31 76.3% 1.30 76.9%
Match center
Lecce
L L W W L
28.02 14:00 UTC Serie A
Lecce 1:3 ComoComo
21.02 17:00 UTC Serie A
Lecce 0:2 InterInter
16.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Lecce 2:0 CagliariCagliari
08.02 14:00 UTC Serie A
Lecce 2:1 UdineseUdinese
01.02 11:30 UTC Serie A
Lecce 0:1 TorinoTorino
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
6 Points
Cremonese
L L D L L
01.03 11:30 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 0:2 AC MilanAC Milan
22.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 0:3 AS RomaAS Roma
15.02 14:00 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 0:0 GenoaGenoa
09.02 17:30 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 1:2 AtalantaAtalanta
01.02 17:00 UTC Serie A
Cremonese 0:2 InterInter
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
0.2 Scored
1.8 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLecce - Cremonese

Lecce
1 matches total
Cremonese
Lecce: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Cremonese: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Cremonese 0:2 (07.12 11:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 07.12 11:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 0

Match history

07.12 11:30 UTC Serie A
Lecce
0:2
Cremonese