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Serie A
Serie A Italy
24.01.2026 19:45 UTC Match prediction
24.01.2026 19:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Lecce - Lazio

Italy Football
Lecce
Lecce
0 : 0
Finished
Lazio
Lazio

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lecce - Lazio January 24, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lazio.

Line favourite market consensus: Lazio. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.57 / X 2.96 / 2 2.02
  • 1X2 market: Lecce 20.8% / X 32.1% / Lazio 47.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 67.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 20.8%
X 32.1%
2 47.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.3%
Over 2.5 32.6%
Under 2.5 67.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 24.01.2026 19:45 UTC
Match center

Lecce - Lazio

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.02 market consensus · line only
X 2.96 market consensus · line only
1 4.59 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.21 market consensus · line only
12 1.39 market consensus · line only
1X 1.81 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.22 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.01 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.01 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.20 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.91 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.41 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.55 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.37 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
4.85 20.6%
X 3.00 33.3%
2.04 49.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
4.30 23.3% 4.60 21.7% 4.72 21.2% 4.33 23.1% 4.75 21.1% 4.65 21.5%
X 2.95 33.9% 2.95 33.9% 3.06 32.7% 2.90 34.5% 2.90 34.5% 2.95 33.9%
2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.09 47.9% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 2.02 49.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.55 64.5% 1.63 61.4% 1.51 66.2% 1.53 65.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.55 64.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.59 62.9%
yes 2.35 42.6% 2.29 43.7% 2.41 41.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.50 40.0% 2.37 42.2% 2.38 42.0% 2.41 41.5% 2.47 40.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.20 83.3% 1.23 81.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.22 82.0% 1.22 82.0%
home_away 1.33 75.2% 1.43 69.9% 1.36 73.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.37 73.0% 1.42 70.4%
home_draw 1.77 56.5% 1.82 55.0% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.83 54.6%
Match center
Lecce
L L L L D
18.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Lecce 0:1 AC MilanAC Milan
14.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Lecce 0:1 InterInter
11.01 11:30 UTC Serie A
Lecce 1:2 ParmaParma
06.01 17:00 UTC Serie A
Lecce 0:2 AS RomaAS Roma
03.01 17:00 UTC Serie A
Lecce 1:1 JuventusJuventus
0 Wins
1 Draws
4 Losses
0.4 Scored
1.4 Conceded
1 Points
Lazio
L W D L D
19.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 0:3 ComoComo
11.01 17:00 UTC Serie A
Lazio 1:0 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
07.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Lazio 2:2 FiorentinaFiorentina
04.01 11:30 UTC Serie A
Lazio 0:2 NapoliNapoli
27.12 17:00 UTC Serie A
Lazio 1:1 UdineseUdinese
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.6 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLecce - Lazio

Lecce
2 matches total
Lazio
Lecce: 1 (50%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Lazio: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Lazio 0:2 (23.11 17:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 23.11 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 1

Match history

23.11 17:00 UTC Serie A
Lecce
0:2
Lazio
25.05 18:45 UTC Serie A
Lecce
1:0
Lazio