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Serie A
Serie A Italy
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
06.04.2025 10:30 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Lecce - Venezia

Italy Football
Lecce
Lecce
1 : 1
Finished
Venezia
Venezia

Lecce take on Venezia on April 6, 2025 in the Serie A, Italy.

Recent form (W-D-L): Lecce 1-0-4, Venezia 1-1-3. Sportsbooks lean towards Lecce, an implied 40% to win. Full analysis — form, H2H, odds and the PrognozAI AI prediction — follows on this page.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lecce - Venezia April 6, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lecce.

Line favourite market consensus: Lecce. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.43 / X 3.12 / 2 3.38
  • 1X2 market: Lecce 40.0% / X 31.2% / Venezia 28.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 40.0%
X 31.2%
2 28.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.8%
Over 2.5 40.7%
Under 2.5 59.3%

Odds source: SStats Consensus line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 06.04.2025 10:30 UTC
Market 1 40.0% @ 2.43 / X 31.2% @ 3.12 / 2 28.8% @ 3.38
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Match center

Lecce - Venezia

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.38 market consensus · line only
X 3.12 market consensus · line only
1 2.43 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.62 market consensus · line only
12 1.41 market consensus · line only
1X 1.36 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.39 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.64 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.43 41.2%
X 3.12 32.1%
3.38 29.6%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.62 61.7%
home_away 1.41 70.9%
home_draw 1.36 73.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 2.39 41.8%
Under 2.5 1.64 61.0%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.66 60.2%
2.32 43.1%
Match center
Lecce
W L L L L
29.10 17:30 UTC Serie A
Lecce 1:0 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
26.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Lecce 0:1 NapoliNapoli
20.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Lecce 0:6 FiorentinaFiorentina
05.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Lecce 0:1 UdineseUdinese
27.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Lecce 0:3 AC MilanAC Milan
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
0.2 Scored
2.2 Conceded
3 Points
Venezia
W D L L L
30.10 17:30 UTC Serie A
Venezia 3:2 UdineseUdinese
27.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Venezia 2:2 MonzaMonza
20.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Venezia 0:2 AtalantaAtalanta
04.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
Venezia 1:2 Hellas VeronaHellas Verona
29.09 13:00 UTC Serie A
Venezia 1:2 AS RomaAS Roma
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.4 Scored
2.0 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLecce - Venezia

Lecce
0 matches total
Venezia
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Frequently asked questions

When does Lecce vs Venezia start?

April 6, 2025.