AI verdict

AI pick Atalanta win probability ~79% confidence High best odds 1.22

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Atalanta. Full breakdown below.

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Serie A
Serie A Italy
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
04.05.2025 13:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Monza vs Atalanta — Football prediction

Italy Football
Monza
Monza
0 : 4
Finished
Atalanta
Atalanta

Monza take on Atalanta on May 4, 2025 in the Serie A, Italy.

Recent form (W-D-L): Monza 0-0-5, Atalanta 3-1-1. These sides have met 1 time recently — the head-to-head record is shown below. The market favourite is Atalanta at roughly 79%. Scroll down for team stats, head-to-head record, odds and the PropickAI AI pick.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Monza - Atalanta May 4, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atalanta.

Line favourite market consensus: Atalanta. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 13.00 / X 6.92 / 2 1.22
  • 1X2 market: Monza 7.4% / X 13.9% / Atalanta 78.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.1%
1 7.4%
X 13.9%
2 78.7%

Odds source: SStats Consensus line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.05.2025 13:00 UTC
Market 1 7.4% @ 13.00 / X 13.9% @ 6.92 / 2 78.7% @ 1.22
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Match center

Monza - Atalanta

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.22 market consensus · line only
X 6.92 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.05 market consensus · line only
12 1.12 market consensus · line only
1X 4.63 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
13.00 7.7%
X 6.92 14.5%
1.22 82.0%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.05 95.2%
home_away 1.12 89.3%
home_draw 4.63 21.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 3.5 2.25 44.4%
Under 3.5 1.67 59.9%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
10.86 9.2%
1.06 94.3%
Match center
Monza
L L L L L
27.04 16:00 UTC Seriya A
Monza 0:2 YuventusYuventus
19.04 16:00 UTC Seriya A
Monza 0:1 NapoliNapoli
12.04 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Monza 0:1 VenetsiyaVenetsiya
05.04 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Monza 1:3 KomoKomo
30.10 19:45 UTC Seriya A
Monza 0:2 AtalantaAtalanta
0 Wins
0 Draws
5 Losses
0.2 Scored
1.8 Conceded
0 Points
Atalanta
D W W L W
27.04 18:45 UTC Seriya A
Atalanta 1:1 LechcheLechche
20.04 18:45 UTC Seriya A
Atalanta 1:0 MilanMilan
13.04 10:30 UTC Seriya A
Atalanta 2:0 BolonyaBolonya
06.04 16:00 UTC Seriya A
Atalanta 0:1 LatsioLatsio
30.10 19:45 UTC Seriya A
Atalanta 2:0 MontsaMontsa
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
0.4 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Monza - Atalanta

Monza
1 matches total
Atalanta
Monza: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Atalanta: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Atalanta 0:2 (30.10 19:45 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 30.10 19:45 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

30.10 19:45 UTC Seriya A
Montsa
0:2
Atalanta

Frequently asked questions

What does PropickAI predict for Monza vs Atalanta?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Atalanta. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Monza vs Atalanta?

Live odds for Monza vs Atalanta from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Monza vs Atalanta start?

May 4, 2025.