Serie A Italy

19.04.2025 16:00 UTC Match prediction

19.04.2025 16:00 UTC

Finished

Serie A

Monza - Napoli

Italy Futbol

Monza

0 : 1

Finished

Napoli

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Monza - Napoli 19 апреля 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Napoli.

Line favourite market consensus: Napoli. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 11.72 / X 5.72 / 2 1.30
1X2 market: Monza 8.3% / X 17.0% / Napoli 74.7%
Total 2.5: over probability 56.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.9%

1 8.3%

X 17.0%

2 74.7%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.3%

Over 2.5 56.6%

Under 2.5 43.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 19.04.2025 16:00 UTC

Match center

Monza - Napoli

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.30 market consensus · line only

X 5.72 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.07 market consensus · line only

12 1.17 market consensus · line only

1X 3.92 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.71 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.23 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	11.72 8.5%
Х	5.72 17.5%
П2	1.30 76.9%

Double chance

Outcome	SStats Consensus
draw_away	1.07 93.5%
home_away	1.17 85.5%
home_draw	3.92 25.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5	1.71 58.5%
ТМ 2.5	2.23 44.8%

Home/Away

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	9.76 10.3%
П2	1.08 92.6%

Match center

Monza

L L L D W

12.04 13:00 UTC Serie A

Monza 0:1 Venezia

05.04 13:00 UTC Serie A

Monza 1:3 Como

30.10 19:45 UTC Serie A

Monza 0:2 Atalanta

27.10 13:00 UTC Serie A

Monza 2:2 Venezia

21.10 18:45 UTC Serie A

Monza 3:0 Hellas Verona

1 Wins

1 Draws

3 Losses

1.2 Scored

1.6 Conceded

4 Points

Napoli

W D W W W

14.04 18:45 UTC Serie A

Napoli 3:0 Empoli

07.04 18:45 UTC Serie A

Napoli 1:1 Bologna

29.10 19:45 UTC Serie A

Napoli 2:0 AC Milan

26.10 13:00 UTC Serie A

Napoli 1:0 Lecce

20.10 10:30 UTC Serie A

Napoli 1:0 Empoli

4 Wins

1 Draws

0 Losses

1.6 Scored

0.2 Conceded

13 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyMonza - Napoli

Monza

1 matches total

Napoli

Monza: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Napoli: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Napoli 0:2 (29.09 18:45 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 29.09 18:45 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 2

2 Goals conceded 0

Match history

29.09 18:45 UTC

Serie A

Monza

0:2

Napoli