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Serie A
Serie A Italy
25.10.2025 16:00 UTC Match prediction
25.10.2025 16:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Napoli - Inter

Italy Football
Napoli
Napoli
3 : 1
Finished
Inter
Inter

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Napoli - Inter October 25, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Inter.

Line favourite market consensus: Inter. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.48 / X 3.17 / 2 2.24
  • 1X2 market: Napoli 27.4% / X 30.1% / Inter 42.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 27.4%
X 30.1%
2 42.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.1%
Over 2.5 47.8%
Under 2.5 52.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 25.10.2025 16:00 UTC
Match center

Napoli - Inter

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.24 market consensus · line only
X 3.17 market consensus · line only
1 3.50 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.32 market consensus · line only
12 1.35 market consensus · line only
1X 1.66 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.35 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.13 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.23 market consensus · line only
2 +1 3.37 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.01 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.84 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.06 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.73 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.71 27.0%
X 3.17 31.6%
2.26 44.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
3.70 27.0% 3.60 27.8% 3.76 26.6% 3.50 28.6% 3.55 28.2% 3.50 28.6%
X 3.20 31.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.27 30.6% 3.20 31.3% 3.15 31.8% 3.00 33.3%
2.10 47.6% 2.19 45.7% 2.18 45.9% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.10 47.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 2.00 50.0% 2.16 46.3% 2.21 45.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.10 47.6% 2.00 50.0% 2.02 49.5% 2.11 47.4% 1.97 50.8%
yes 1.73 57.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.67 59.9% 1.80 55.6% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.71 58.5% 1.79 55.9% 1.82 55.0%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 1.30 76.9% 1.29 77.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.32 75.8% 1.33 75.2% 1.32 75.8%
home_away 1.28 78.1% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2% 1.34 74.6% 1.38 72.5% 1.40 71.4%
home_draw 1.67 59.9% 1.72 58.1% 1.53 65.4% 1.70 58.8% 1.68 59.5% 1.70 58.8%
Match center
Napoli
L W L W W
18.10 16:00 UTC Serie A
Napoli 0:1 TorinoTorino
05.10 16:00 UTC Serie A
Napoli 2:1 GenoaGenoa
28.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Napoli 1:2 AC MilanAC Milan
22.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Napoli 3:2 PisaPisa
13.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Napoli 3:1 FiorentinaFiorentina
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
9 Points
Inter
W W W W L
18.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 1:0 AS RomaAS Roma
04.10 16:00 UTC Serie A
Inter 4:1 CremoneseCremonese
27.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 2:0 CagliariCagliari
21.09 18:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 2:1 SassuoloSassuolo
13.09 16:00 UTC Serie A
Inter 3:4 JuventusJuventus
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNapoli - Inter

Napoli
0 matches total
Inter
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history