AI verdict

AI pick Napoli win probability ~75% confidence High best odds 1.30

Model consensus and the Glicko-2 rating lean to Napoli. Full breakdown below.

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Serie A
Serie A Italy
✓ Prematch ready Prematch data Line Form H2H Prediction
29.09.2024 18:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Napoli vs Monza — Football prediction

Italy Football
Napoli
Napoli
2 : 0
Finished
Monza
Monza

Napoli meet Monza on September 29, 2024 in the Serie A, Italy.

Recent form (W-D-L): Napoli 1-1-0, Monza 0-2-1. The bookmaker line makes Napoli the favourite at about 75%. Below: team form, head-to-head history, bookmaker odds and the full PropickAI AI breakdown.

How we calculated thisModel, consensus and market breakdown

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Napoli - Monza September 29, 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Napoli.

Line favourite market consensus: Napoli. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.30 / X 5.70 / 2 11.52
  • 1X2 market: Napoli 74.6% / X 17.0% / Monza 8.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.2%
1 74.6%
X 17.0%
2 8.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.1%
Over 2.5 55.1%
Under 2.5 44.9%

Odds source: SStats Consensus line. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 29.09.2024 18:45 UTC
Market 1 74.6% @ 1.30 / X 17.0% @ 5.70 / 2 8.4% @ 11.52
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Match center

Napoli - Monza

Form 2/3 recent games
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 5.70 market consensus · line only
1 1.30 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.82 market consensus · line only
12 1.17 market consensus · line only
1X 1.07 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.76 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.16 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.30 76.9%
X 5.70 17.5%
11.52 8.7%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 3.82 26.2%
home_away 1.17 85.5%
home_draw 1.07 93.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.76 56.8%
Under 2.5 2.16 46.3%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.09 91.7%
9.39 10.7%
Match center
Napoli
D W
21.09 16:00 UTC Seriya A
Napoli 0:0 YuventusYuventus
15.09 16:00 UTC Seriya A
Napoli 4:0 KalyariKalyari
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
4 Points
Monza
L D D
22.09 13:00 UTC Seriya A
Monza 1:2 BolonyaBolonya
15.09 18:45 UTC Seriya A
Monza 1:1 InterInter
01.09 16:30 UTC Seriya A
Monza 2:2 FiorentinaFiorentina
0 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.3 Scored
1.7 Conceded
2 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head history: Napoli - Monza

Napoli
0 matches total
Monza
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Frequently asked questions

What does PropickAI predict for Napoli vs Monza?

The consensus of 7 AI models and the Glicko-2 rating leans to Napoli. Full probabilities and bookmaker odds are shown on this page.

What are the bookmaker odds for Napoli vs Monza?

Live odds for Napoli vs Monza from multiple bookmakers are listed on this page and refresh as the market moves.

When does Napoli vs Monza start?

September 29, 2024.