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Serie A
Serie A Italy
08.11.2025 19:45 UTC Match prediction
08.11.2025 19:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Parma - AC Milan

Italy Football
Parma
Parma
2 : 2
Finished
AC Milan
AC Milan

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Parma - AC Milan November 8, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like AC Milan.

Line favourite market consensus: AC Milan. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 6.92 / X 4.01 / 2 1.52
  • 1X2 market: Parma 13.8% / X 23.8% / AC Milan 62.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 52.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 13.7%
X 23.7%
2 62.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 47.4%
Under 2.5 52.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 08.11.2025 19:45 UTC
Match center

Parma - AC Milan

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.52 market consensus · line only
X 4.01 market consensus · line only
1 6.94 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.12 market consensus · line only
12 1.25 market consensus · line only
1X 2.51 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.12 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.01 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.52 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.91 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.02 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.82 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.72 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.07 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
7.30 13.7%
X 4.08 24.5%
1.53 65.4%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
6.60 15.2% 7.20 13.9% 7.26 13.8% 6.00 16.7% 7.00 14.3% 7.30 13.7%
X 4.00 25.0% 4.15 24.1% 4.19 23.9% 3.80 26.3% 4.00 25.0% 4.05 24.7%
1.52 65.8% 1.51 66.2% 1.56 64.1% 1.53 65.4% 1.48 67.6% 1.57 63.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.70 58.8% 1.68 59.5% 1.68 59.5% 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.72 58.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.66 60.2% 1.74 57.5%
yes 2.05 48.8% 2.20 45.5% 2.09 47.9% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 2.09 47.9% 2.19 45.7%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.11 90.1% 1.12 89.3% 1.13 88.5% 1.12 89.3% 1.13 88.5% 1.12 89.3%
home_away 1.20 83.3% 1.27 78.7% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.24 80.7% 1.26 79.4%
home_draw 2.45 40.8% 2.59 38.6% 2.45 40.8% 2.38 42.0% 2.55 39.2% 2.60 38.5%
Match center
Parma
L L D D L
02.11 17:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 1:3 BolognaBologna
29.10 17:30 UTC Serie A
Parma 1:2 AS RomaAS Roma
25.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 0:0 ComoComo
19.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 0:0 GenoaGenoa
04.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 0:1 LecceLecce
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.4 Scored
1.2 Conceded
2 Points
AC Milan
W D D W D
02.11 19:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 1:0 AS RomaAS Roma
28.10 19:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 1:1 AtalantaAtalanta
24.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 2:2 PisaPisa
19.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 2:1 FiorentinaFiorentina
05.10 18:45 UTC Serie A
AC Milan 0:0 JuventusJuventus
2 Wins
3 Draws
0 Losses
1.2 Scored
0.8 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyParma - AC Milan

Parma
0 matches total
AC Milan
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history