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Serie A
Serie A Italy
18.01.2026 11:30 UTC Match prediction
18.01.2026 11:30 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Parma - Genoa

Italy Football
Parma
Parma
0 : 0
Finished
Genoa
Genoa

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Parma - Genoa January 18, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like draw.

Line favourite market consensus: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.87 / X 2.81 / 2 2.85
  • 1X2 market: Parma 33.0% / X 33.7% / Genoa 33.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 61.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.5%
1 33.0%
X 33.7%
2 33.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.5%
Over 2.5 38.1%
Under 2.5 61.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 18.01.2026 11:30 UTC
Match center

Parma - Genoa

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.86 market consensus · line only
X 2.82 market consensus · line only
1 2.88 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.43 market consensus · line only
12 1.42 market consensus · line only
1X 1.42 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.43 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.15 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.81 market consensus · line only
2 +1 5.24 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.49 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.53 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.78 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.98 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.97 33.7%
X 2.85 35.1%
2.94 34.0%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.80 35.7% 2.88 34.7% 2.99 33.4% 2.70 37.0% 2.90 34.5% 2.90 34.5%
X 2.82 35.5% 2.88 34.7% 2.94 34.0% 2.88 34.7% 2.70 37.0% 2.77 36.1%
2.80 35.7% 2.88 34.7% 2.94 34.0% 2.70 37.0% 2.90 34.5% 2.90 34.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.80 55.6% 1.87 53.5% 1.79 55.9% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.83 54.6% 1.73 57.8% 1.77 56.5% 1.86 53.8%
yes 1.93 51.8% 1.94 51.6% 1.94 51.6% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 1.90 52.6% 2.05 48.8% 1.94 51.6% 2.02 49.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.42 70.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4%
home_away 1.36 73.5% 1.46 68.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.45 69.0%
home_draw 1.42 70.4% 1.46 68.5% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.44 69.4% 1.45 69.0%
Match center
Parma
D W L D W
14.01 17:30 UTC Serie A
Parma 0:0 NapoliNapoli
11.01 11:30 UTC Serie A
Parma 2:1 LecceLecce
07.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Parma 0:2 InterInter
03.01 14:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 1:1 SassuoloSassuolo
27.12 11:30 UTC Serie A
Parma 1:0 FiorentinaFiorentina
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
0.8 Scored
0.8 Conceded
8 Points
Genoa
W D D L L
12.01 17:30 UTC Serie A
Genoa 3:0 CagliariCagliari
08.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Genoa 1:1 AC MilanAC Milan
03.01 14:00 UTC Serie A
Genoa 1:1 PisaPisa
29.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Genoa 1:3 AS RomaAS Roma
21.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Genoa 0:1 AtalantaAtalanta
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.2 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyParma - Genoa

Parma
1 matches total
Genoa
Parma: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Genoa: 0 (0%)
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (19.10 13:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 0

Match history

19.10 13:00 UTC Serie A
Parma
0:0
Genoa