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Serie A
Serie A Italy
15.02.2026 14:00 UTC Match prediction
15.02.2026 14:00 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Parma - Hellas Verona

Italy Football
Parma
Parma
2 : 1
Finished
Hellas Verona
Hellas Verona

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Parma - Hellas Verona February 15, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Parma.

Line favourite market consensus: Parma. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.34 / X 2.86 / 2 3.58
  • 1X2 market: Parma 40.5% / X 33.1% / Hellas Verona 26.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 64.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.6%
1 40.5%
X 33.1%
2 26.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.3%
Over 2.5 35.8%
Under 2.5 64.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 15.02.2026 14:00 UTC
Match center

Parma - Hellas Verona

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.59 market consensus · line only
X 2.87 market consensus · line only
1 2.34 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.60 market consensus · line only
12 1.41 market consensus · line only
1X 1.30 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.62 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.24 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.47 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.00 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.65 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.48 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.69 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.12 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.38 42.0%
X 2.93 34.1%
3.75 26.7%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.32 43.1% 2.31 43.3% 2.43 41.2% 2.30 43.5% 2.30 43.5% 2.37 42.2%
X 2.85 35.1% 2.87 34.8% 2.97 33.7% 2.80 35.7% 2.90 34.5% 2.85 35.1%
3.50 28.6% 3.35 29.9% 3.74 26.7% 3.30 30.3% 3.60 27.8% 3.60 27.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.70 58.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.64 61.0% 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.62 61.7% 1.63 61.4% 1.72 58.1%
yes 2.10 47.6% 2.12 47.2% 2.14 46.7% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.07 48.3% 2.20 45.5% 2.14 46.7% 2.21 45.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.57 63.7% 1.63 61.4% 1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.57 63.7%
home_away 1.36 73.5% 1.45 69.0% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.39 71.9% 1.40 71.4%
home_draw 1.30 76.9% 1.32 75.8% 1.33 75.2% 1.28 78.1% 1.31 76.3% 1.22 82.0%
Match center
Parma
W L L D D
08.02 11:30 UTC Serie A
Parma 1:0 BolognaBologna
01.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Parma 1:4 JuventusJuventus
25.01 14:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 0:4 AtalantaAtalanta
18.01 11:30 UTC Serie A
Parma 0:0 GenoaGenoa
14.01 17:30 UTC Serie A
Parma 0:0 NapoliNapoli
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.4 Scored
1.6 Conceded
5 Points
Hellas Verona
D L L D L
06.02 19:45 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 0:0 PisaPisa
31.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 0:4 CagliariCagliari
26.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 1:3 UdineseUdinese
19.01 17:30 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 0:0 CremoneseCremonese
15.01 17:30 UTC Serie A
Hellas Verona 2:3 BolognaBologna
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.6 Scored
2.0 Conceded
2 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyParma - Hellas Verona

Parma
1 matches total
Hellas Verona
Parma: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Hellas Verona: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Parma 2:1 (23.11 11:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 23.11 11:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 2

Match history

23.11 11:30 UTC Serie A
Parma
2:1
Hellas Verona