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Serie A
Serie A Italy
07.01.2026 19:45 UTC Match prediction
07.01.2026 19:45 UTC
Finished

Serie A

Italy

Parma - Inter

Italy Football
Parma
Parma
0 : 2
Finished
Inter
Inter

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Parma - Inter January 7, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Inter.

Line favourite market consensus: Inter. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 9.17 / X 5.14 / 2 1.34
  • 1X2 market: Parma 10.5% / X 18.6% / Inter 70.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 10.4%
X 18.5%
2 71.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 57.3%
Under 2.5 42.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 07.01.2026 19:45 UTC
Match center

Parma - Inter

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.34 market consensus · line only
X 5.15 market consensus · line only
1 9.19 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.07 market consensus · line only
12 1.18 market consensus · line only
1X 3.27 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.08 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.01 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.33 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.51 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.67 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.24 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.78 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.99 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
9.46 10.6%
X 5.34 18.7%
1.35 74.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair
10.00 10.0% 8.70 11.5% 9.35 10.7% 10.00 10.0% 9.25 10.8% 9.50 10.5%
X 4.80 20.8% 5.30 18.9% 5.34 18.7% 4.75 21.1% 5.30 18.9% 5.00 20.0%
1.33 75.2% 1.35 74.1% 1.39 71.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.37 73.0% 1.30 76.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle Superbet
no 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.78 56.2% 1.75 57.1% 1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.76 56.8% 1.82 55.0% 1.77 56.5%
yes 1.95 51.3% 2.09 47.9% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.98 50.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.07 48.3% 2.02 49.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Marathonbet Pinnacle
draw_away 1.05 95.2% 1.08 92.6% 1.06 94.3% 1.09 91.7% 1.08 92.6% 1.09 91.7%
home_away 1.17 85.5% 1.19 84.0% 1.18 84.8% 1.17 85.5% 1.18 84.8% 1.19 84.0%
home_draw 3.20 31.3% 3.28 30.5% 3.25 30.8% 3.30 30.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.46 28.9%
Match center
Parma
D W L W L
03.01 14:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 1:1 SassuoloSassuolo
27.12 11:30 UTC Serie A
Parma 1:0 FiorentinaFiorentina
13.12 17:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 0:1 LazioLazio
08.12 14:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 1:0 PisaPisa
29.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Parma 0:2 UdineseUdinese
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
0.6 Scored
0.8 Conceded
7 Points
Inter
W W W W W
04.01 19:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 3:1 BolognaBologna
28.12 19:45 UTC Serie A
Inter 1:0 AtalantaAtalanta
14.12 17:00 UTC Serie A
Inter 2:1 GenoaGenoa
06.12 17:00 UTC Serie A
Inter 4:0 ComoComo
30.11 14:00 UTC Serie A
Inter 2:0 PisaPisa
5 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.4 Scored
0.4 Conceded
15 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyParma - Inter

Parma
1 matches total
Inter
Parma: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (100%)
Inter: 0 (0%)
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 4 goals (2:2, 05.04 16:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 2:2 (05.04 16:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 2

Match history

05.04 16:00 UTC Serie A
Parma
2:2
Inter